Yeah my prediction lacked specificity. I expect it to become quite heated. I’m imagining 10+ posts on the topic next year with a total of 100+ comments. That’s just on the forum.
I’d probably bet against this happening FWIW. Maybe a Manifold market?
Also, 100+ comments on the forum might not mean it’s necessarily “heated”—a back and forth between two commenters can quickly increase the tally on any subject so that part might also need specifying further.
I spent about 30 seconds thinking about how to quantify my prediction. I’m trying to point at something vague in a concrete way but failing. This also means that I don’t think it is worth my time making it more concrete. The initial post was more of the “I am pretty confident this will be a community issue, just a heads up”.
Yeah my prediction lacked specificity. I expect it to become quite heated. I’m imagining 10+ posts on the topic next year with a total of 100+ comments. That’s just on the forum.
I’d probably bet against this happening FWIW. Maybe a Manifold market?
Also, 100+ comments on the forum might not mean it’s necessarily “heated”—a back and forth between two commenters can quickly increase the tally on any subject so that part might also need specifying further.
I spent about 30 seconds thinking about how to quantify my prediction. I’m trying to point at something vague in a concrete way but failing. This also means that I don’t think it is worth my time making it more concrete. The initial post was more of the “I am pretty confident this will be a community issue, just a heads up”.
Seems reasonable :)