The bet was resolved with 6 yes votes, and 4 no votes, which means a victory for Carl Shulman. I will be sending Carl $10, as per our initial agreement.
I should note that this provided the maximum possible evidence for Oliverโs hypothesis given that outcome, and that as a result I update in his direction (although less so because of the small sample).
Any outcome yet?
And the results are in!
The bet was resolved with 6 yes votes, and 4 no votes, which means a victory for Carl Shulman. I will be sending Carl $10, as per our initial agreement.
I should note that this provided the maximum possible evidence for Oliverโs hypothesis given that outcome, and that as a result I update in his direction (although less so because of the small sample).
We had 8โ10 responses, and just sent out messages to another batch to get the last two responses. Should be resolved soon.