There’s a new sequence on the EA Forum about forecasting /​ predicting the effectiveness of different interventions. I find it very interesting so far: Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Everything: Predicting the Cost-Effectiveness of Deploying, Evaluating, and Developing New Interventions, and BeyondThe methods are probably too complex for personal use, but a demonstration of how forecasting can be applied on an institutional scale.
There’s a new sequence on the EA Forum about forecasting /​ predicting the effectiveness of different interventions. I find it very interesting so far: Cost-Effectiveness Analysis for Everything: Predicting the Cost-Effectiveness of Deploying, Evaluating, and Developing New Interventions, and Beyond
The methods are probably too complex for personal use, but a demonstration of how forecasting can be applied on an institutional scale.