I strongly object to saying we’re not allowed to bet on the most important questions—questions of life or death. That’s like deciding to take the best person off the team defending the president. Don’t handicap yourself when it matters most. This is the tool that stops us from just talking hot air and actually records which people are actually able to make correct predictions. These are some of the most important bets on the forum.
I think I strongly agree with you on the value of being open to using betting in cases like these (at least in private, probably in public). And if you mean something like “Just in case anyone were to interpret Chi a certain way, I’d like to say that I strongly object to...”, then I just fully agree with your comment.
But I think it’s worth pointing out that no one said “we’re not allowed to” do these bets—Chi’s comment was just their personal view and recommendation, and had various hedges. At most it was saying “we shouldn’t”, which feels quite different from “we’re not allowed to”.
(Compare thinking that what someone is saying is racist and they really shouldn’t have said it, vs actually taking away their platforms or preventing their speech—a much higher bar is needed for the latter.)
I strongly object to saying we’re not allowed to bet on the most important questions—questions of life or death. That’s like deciding to take the best person off the team defending the president. Don’t handicap yourself when it matters most. This is the tool that stops us from just talking hot air and actually records which people are actually able to make correct predictions. These are some of the most important bets on the forum.
(Kind of just a nitpick)
I think I strongly agree with you on the value of being open to using betting in cases like these (at least in private, probably in public). And if you mean something like “Just in case anyone were to interpret Chi a certain way, I’d like to say that I strongly object to...”, then I just fully agree with your comment.
But I think it’s worth pointing out that no one said “we’re not allowed to” do these bets—Chi’s comment was just their personal view and recommendation, and had various hedges. At most it was saying “we shouldn’t”, which feels quite different from “we’re not allowed to”.
(Compare thinking that what someone is saying is racist and they really shouldn’t have said it, vs actually taking away their platforms or preventing their speech—a much higher bar is needed for the latter.)