@cole_haus I’m working on a new modeling tool—https://causal.app. If you think it’s useful I could try to replicate your analysis with Causal. The advantage would be that the output is an interactive web site where users can play with the assumptions (e.g. plug in different distributions).
If there’s another analysis that you think might be a better fit I could also build that. I just think that Causal could be useful for the EA community :)
He was very positive about it and willing to move forward on it. I didn’t/don’t have all the bandwidth to follow up as much as I’d like to, but maybe someone else could do. (And I’d hope to turn back to this at some point.)
I think this could be done in addition to and in complement to HazelFire’s work. Note that the Hazelfire effort is using squiggle language. I’ve been following up and encouraging them as well. I hope that we can find a way to leverage the best features of each of these tools, and also bring in domain knowledge.
@cole_haus I’m working on a new modeling tool—https://causal.app. If you think it’s useful I could try to replicate your analysis with Causal. The advantage would be that the output is an interactive web site where users can play with the assumptions (e.g. plug in different distributions).
If there’s another analysis that you think might be a better fit I could also build that. I just think that Causal could be useful for the EA community :)
How did this/how is this going? I’m chatting with Taimur of Causal tomorrow and I wanted to bring this up
How did the chat go?
I wonder if porting GiveWell cost-effectiveness models to causal.app might make them more understandable
He was very positive about it and willing to move forward on it. I didn’t/don’t have all the bandwidth to follow up as much as I’d like to, but maybe someone else could do. (And I’d hope to turn back to this at some point.)
I think this could be done in addition to and in complement to HazelFire’s work. Note that the Hazelfire effort is using squiggle language. I’ve been following up and encouraging them as well. I hope that we can find a way to leverage the best features of each of these tools, and also bring in domain knowledge.
The link has an extra ‘.’ - https://www.causal.app/
Looks neat, good luck!