EdoArad

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 12:45 UTC

  8 points

  2 ∶ 1

  in reply to: Davidmanheim’s comment on: Cause Area Tier List

  

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 12:34 UTC

  19 points

  3 ∶ 0

  on: The Cen­tre for Effec­tive Altru­ism is spin­ning out of the Cen­tre for Effec­tive Altruism

  Re See-EA and understanding the community better, have you considered the community of Sea-EAs? Or maybe go big-tent and focus on rank-C EAs? Charity Entrepreneurship’s Alumni?

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 11:54 UTC

  21 points

  4 ∶ 2

  on: In­tro­duc­ing “Bribe Well”

  I think in the US it’s called “Lobbying” and Open Phil has spent several hundred thousand dollars there

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 11:47 UTC

  11 points

  1 ∶ 0

  on: Cause Area Tier List

  How about improving the climate of discussions on the forum?

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 11:31 UTC

  10 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: EdoArad’s comment on: EA is now scan­dal-constrained

  (btw, I find it funny that I cringe internally more about posting 11 than about 9)

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 9:36 UTC

  3 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Med­i­cal As­sis­tance in Dy­ing for the Men­tally Ill as a Cause Area for Nega­tive Utilitarians

  One key consideration for me is to what extent we think people who would choose to commit suicide, or people who have lived with a long treatment-resistant depression, are likely to recover and live a worthwhile life (and to what extent suicidal individuals can predict their future well-being).

  The academic literature seems very lacking here. I found a couple of recent papers:

  1. https://​​www.sciencedirect.com/​​science/​​article/​​abs/​​pii/​​S0005789421000228 (a 2021 review)

  2. https://​​digitalcommons.usf.edu/​​cgi/​​viewcontent.cgi?article=10503&context=etd (a 2022 master’s thesis on the topic, studying a cohort of 8,000 US veterans within which 400 had attempted suicide). It seems pessimistic, at a glance.

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 8:42 UTC

  5 points

  1 ∶ 0

  in reply to: NickLaing’s comment on: EA is now scan­dal-constrained

  They probably have a large influence on prioritization. I’d check into ALLFED

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 8:16 UTC

  26 points

  3 ∶ 1

  in reply to: NickLaing’s comment on: EA is now scan­dal-constrained

  9. EA should publicly support Israel’s war effort
  10. Buy a large coal mine and employ the world’s poorest people
  11. Only fund community builders who say they are longtermist
  12. Publish the secret deal with Huel as EA’s main sponsor

• EdoArad 1 Apr 2024 6:27 UTC

  4 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Ap­ply to be a Safety Eng­ineer at Lock­heed Martin!

  Engienering at LM might be better than engineering LLMs

• EdoArad 17 Mar 2024 15:30 UTC

  2 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Ben Millwood’s comment on: In CEAs, when should we take the Ex­pected Value?

  Exactly!

• EdoArad 17 Mar 2024 15:29 UTC

  2 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Joseph Lemien’s comment on: In CEAs, when should we take the Ex­pected Value?

  👍

Open Ques­tions in Cost-Effec­tive­ness Modeling

In Cost-Effec­tive­ness Analy­ses, when should we take the Ex­pected Value?

• EdoArad 9 Mar 2024 15:34 UTC

  4 points

  1 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Elizabeth’s comment on: This is why peo­ple are re­luc­tant to write on the EA Forum

  If you or someone else wants to expand on this point, I’d be interested in understanding whether that’s really the case or in which ways it got better or worse

• EdoArad 10 Feb 2024 17:08 UTC

  1 point

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: EdoArad’s comment on: Am­bi­tious Im­pact (AIM) - a new brand for Char­ity En­trepreneur­ship and our ex­tended ecosys­tem!

  wait, was it like that before??

• EdoArad 8 Feb 2024 19:57 UTC

  3 points

  2 ∶ 1

  on: Am­bi­tious Im­pact (AIM) - a new brand for Char­ity En­trepreneur­ship and our ex­tended ecosys­tem!

  Love the Harry Potter color theme!

• EdoArad 7 Feb 2024 16:53 UTC

  43 points

  6 ∶ 0

  on: In­tro­duc­ing the Effek­tiv Spen­den “Defend­ing Democ­racy” fund

  Is the issue highly polarized/​politicized in Germany? Say, do you expect some people to engage less with your work as a result of “choosing sides”?

  In EA Israel we tend to take more politically neutral approaches when engaging publicly, including in relation to the current war or to the large “pro-democratic” public protests (wiki). I’m curious about your attitude to reputational risks and the potential problem of “painting EA with leftist colors”.

• EdoArad 4 Feb 2024 15:28 UTC

  5 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: A sim­ple and generic frame­work for im­pact es­ti­ma­tion and attribution

  Usually we use purchase-parity adjustments when we look at the value of money, so there might be a subtle circular reasoning problem here. One issue for example is that there is no value in innovation (say, by designing a cheaper transportation service/​product, people could end up paying less for the service so the revenue may decrease [while the profits could get higher]).

  Another issue is that I don’t think this could take into account counterfactual impact.

  Didn’t read through the whole thing yet, sorry if I missed how you addressed this issues! I love the idea of trying to find simpler ways of estimating impact!

• EdoArad 12 Jan 2024 7:28 UTC

  2 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Prior knowl­edge elic­i­ta­tion: The past, pre­sent, and fu­ture [re­view pa­per 2023]

  Seems like this was first published in 2021 but revised in 2023

• EdoArad 12 Jan 2024 7:06 UTC

  4 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: EdoArad’s comment on: Copen­hagen Con­sen­sus Cen­ter’s best in­vest­ment pa­pers for the sus­tain­able de­vel­op­ment goals

  Also, CCC are using a discount rate of 8% (compared with 4% that’s common at least for CE)