Shared you on the draft. Yes, it’s related to those old blog posts but extending the analysis by making more assumptions about “default” growth functions for various key variables, and so getting to say something a bit more quantitative about the value of the speed-up.
Re your draft, I’d be interested in taking a look :)
I thought you’ve written something similar here—https://globalprioritiesproject.org/2015/02/project-overview-problems-of-unknown-difficulty/ (website is currently down 🐛 - archived version)
Shared you on the draft. Yes, it’s related to those old blog posts but extending the analysis by making more assumptions about “default” growth functions for various key variables, and so getting to say something a bit more quantitative about the value of the speed-up.