Jan Kirchner (a) writes a popularization of “Infrabayesianism” (a), a theory of how to make pseudo-Bayesian updates in the presence of intelligent adversaries. I appreciated the effort, but I thought this could have been much better. If anyone writes a better introduction I’ll give them a forecasting microgrant proportionate to my estimate of its quality.
I still like my summary, if you haven’t seen that yet. (Tbc I’m not looking for a microgrant, just informing you of the existence of the summary.)
I still like my summary, if you haven’t seen that yet. (Tbc I’m not looking for a microgrant, just informing you of the existence of the summary.)
Cheers!