tl;dr: Ben estimates a personal counterfactual impact of 10 counterfactual votes in swing states for every hour of his labor (mostly software engineering), significantly higher than other plausible alternatives for work in politics.
Note that there was some pushback in the comments and also I think there’s likely substantial diminishing marginal returns.
Ben West, I (to a much lesser extent) and a few other EAs worked on this in 2016: Vote Pairing is a Cost-Effective Political Intervention.
tl;dr: Ben estimates a personal counterfactual impact of 10 counterfactual votes in swing states for every hour of his labor (mostly software engineering), significantly higher than other plausible alternatives for work in politics.
Note that there was some pushback in the comments and also I think there’s likely substantial diminishing marginal returns.
Sweet, better than I could have hoped for!
Any sense of what organizations/people are working on it this year? I wasn’t able to find an email address for Steve Hull so I posted an issue — https://github.com/sdhull/strategic_voting/issues/20 — no response yet.
I’ll also contact Ben.
Nope, haven’t looked at it at all this year!