What is the likelihood that this is within the power of beings say 10x as intelligent as we are. It seems very plausible to me that there are three relevant values here (self-improvement, alignment, intelligence) and it could just be too hard for the superhuman AI to do.
I think it’s within the power of beings equally as intelligent as us (similarly as mentioned above I think recursive improvement in humans would accelerate if we had similar abilities).
What is the likelihood that this is within the power of beings say 10x as intelligent as we are. It seems very plausible to me that there are three relevant values here (self-improvement, alignment, intelligence) and it could just be too hard for the superhuman AI to do.
This should pull doom number down right?
I think it’s within the power of beings equally as intelligent as us (similarly as mentioned above I think recursive improvement in humans would accelerate if we had similar abilities).
Wait, you think the reason we can’t do brain improvement is because we can’t change the weights of individual neurons?
That seems wrong to me. I think it’s because we don’t know how the neurons work.
Similarly I’d be surprised if you thought that beings as intelligent as humans could recursively improve NNs. Cos currently we can’t do that, right?
Did you read the link to Cold Takes above? If so, where do you disagree with it?
(I agree that we’d be able to do even better if we knew how the neurons work.)
Humans can improve NNs? That’s what AI capabilities research is?
(It’s not “recursive” improvement but I assume you don’t care about the “recursive” part here.)