Definitely mostly using it to mean focused on x-risk, but most because that seems like the largest portion / biggest focus area for the community.
I interpret that Will MacAskill quote as saying that even the most hardcore longtermists care about nearterm outcomes (which seems true), not that lead reduction is supported from a longtermist perspective. I think it’s definitely right that most longtermists I meet are excited about neartermist work. But I also think that the social pressures in the community currently still push toward longtermism.
To be clear, I don’t necessarily think this is a bad thing—it definitely could be good given how neglected longtermist issues are. But I’ve found the conversation around this to feel somewhat like it is missing what the critics are trying to get at, and that this dynamic is more real than people give it credit for.
Also, how are you defining “longtermist” here? You seem to be using it to mean “focused on x-risk”.
Definitely mostly using it to mean focused on x-risk, but most because that seems like the largest portion / biggest focus area for the community.
I interpret that Will MacAskill quote as saying that even the most hardcore longtermists care about nearterm outcomes (which seems true), not that lead reduction is supported from a longtermist perspective. I think it’s definitely right that most longtermists I meet are excited about neartermist work. But I also think that the social pressures in the community currently still push toward longtermism.
To be clear, I don’t necessarily think this is a bad thing—it definitely could be good given how neglected longtermist issues are. But I’ve found the conversation around this to feel somewhat like it is missing what the critics are trying to get at, and that this dynamic is more real than people give it credit for.