Actually, this is not just for persuading others, it’s actually persuading myself. I a CS outsider, and I really don’t understand why many people are confident that AGI will be created someday.
2.Of course predictions may not be accurate, and it’s a personal view. But I think there must be some reasons why you predict AGI is 50% in 2040, not 10%.
Those are great questions, sorry if I misinterpreted your original intent.
This is a technically complicated question, but I think Holden Karnofsky tackles those questions rather well in his blog. Say, you could start from this post and read back to the links that interest you.
Thanks for your response and patience very much.
Actually, this is not just for persuading others, it’s actually persuading myself. I a CS outsider, and I really don’t understand why many people are confident that AGI will be created someday. 2.Of course predictions may not be accurate, and it’s a personal view. But I think there must be some reasons why you predict AGI is 50% in 2040, not 10%.
Those are great questions, sorry if I misinterpreted your original intent.
This is a technically complicated question, but I think Holden Karnofsky tackles those questions rather well in his blog. Say, you could start from this post and read back to the links that interest you.
Thanks. This helps really lot.