Thanks, I found this (including the comments) interesting, both for the object-level thoughts on forecasting, evaluations, software, Metaforecast, and QURI, and for the meta-level thoughts on whether and how to make such diagrams.
On the meta side of things, this post also reminds me of my question post from last year Do research organisations make theory of change diagrams? Should they? I imagine you or readers might find that question & its answers interesting. (I’ve also now added an answer linking to this post, quoting the Motivation and Reflections, and quoting Ozzie’s thoughts given below.)
Thanks, I found this (including the comments) interesting, both for the object-level thoughts on forecasting, evaluations, software, Metaforecast, and QURI, and for the meta-level thoughts on whether and how to make such diagrams.
On the meta side of things, this post also reminds me of my question post from last year Do research organisations make theory of change diagrams? Should they? I imagine you or readers might find that question & its answers interesting. (I’ve also now added an answer linking to this post, quoting the Motivation and Reflections, and quoting Ozzie’s thoughts given below.)