1. Anecdotally, conditional upon marriage, the rate of divorce in my EA friends seem much higher than among my non-EA friends of similar ages. So it is not the case that EAs are careful/āslow to marry because they are less willing with making long-term commitments, or because they are more okay with pre-marital cohabitation.
Iām not sure I understand why the observation in the first sentence supports the claims in the second sentence? Couldnāt EAs tend to be less willing to make long-term commitments, or be more ok with pre-marital cohabitation, but then thereās also some other factor (e.g., not feeling bound by conventions, regularly changing lifestyles such as by moving, disagreeablenss) meaning that if EAs get married theyāre more likely to get divorced? Or couldnāt be that EAs tend to have those two features, but the EAs who get married are ones who deviate from those tendencies?
My inside view is that if you donāt update on the observed data and just consider which characteristics will make EAs more or less likely to be married, I think there are a bunch of factors that push EAs towards āmoreāas opposed to less.
Iām not sure I understand why the observation in the first sentence supports the claims in the second sentence? Couldnāt EAs tend to be less willing to make long-term commitments, or be more ok with pre-marital cohabitation, but then thereās also some other factor (e.g., not feeling bound by conventions, regularly changing lifestyles such as by moving, disagreeablenss) meaning that if EAs get married theyāre more likely to get divorced? Or couldnāt be that EAs tend to have those two features, but the EAs who get married are ones who deviate from those tendencies?
This seems true to me as well.
I think this was poorly phrased on my part. I meant to say āit is not only the case.ā I will edit the parent comment.