I guess my question is: how much risk reduction would there be if USA stopped messing with the world?
If the messing around pertains to Taiwan -- a naive implication of my model is if the USA had a 0% chance of intervening in Taiwan this would decrease the risk of catastrophe by around 1% (percentage point). This seems difficult to influence though.
If the messing around pertains to Taiwan -- a naive implication of my model is if the USA had a 0% chance of intervening in Taiwan this would decrease the risk of catastrophe by around 1% (percentage point). This seems difficult to influence though.