One thing to warn, though: one can be inclined to say something like “I’m an actor, so I don’t have to do any of the accuracy-based forecasting, etc,” which I think is definitely wrong.
One should choose which direction they act based on some somewhat accuracy/EV + vibes. Otherwise, there are infinite ways to act and most of them, without any foresight, fail even with the type of agency you’re describing.
In addition, once you are in the project you are acting in, you (ofc) shouldn’t constantly be doing the accuracy/EV thing. Sometimes, though, it’s probably worth taking a step back and doing it to consider opportunity cost (on some marked date every x amount of time to avoid decision/acting paralysis).
Nice to hear from you, Noah! one can be inclined to say something like “I’m an actor, so I don’t have to do any of the accuracy-based forecasting, etc,” which I think is definitely wrong. totally agree
One should choose which direction they act based on some somewhat accuracy/EV + vibes. Otherwise, there are infinite ways to act and most of them, without any foresight, fail even with the type of agency you’re describing. lets write something on bounded rationality together
In addition, once you are in the project you are acting in, you (ofc) shouldn’t constantly be doing the accuracy/EV thing. Sometimes, though, it’s probably worth taking a step back and doing it to consider opportunity cost (on some marked date every x amount of time to avoid decision/acting paralysis). agree
Yea, I agree with this a lot.
One thing to warn, though: one can be inclined to say something like “I’m an actor, so I don’t have to do any of the accuracy-based forecasting, etc,” which I think is definitely wrong.
One should choose which direction they act based on some somewhat accuracy/EV + vibes. Otherwise, there are infinite ways to act and most of them, without any foresight, fail even with the type of agency you’re describing.
In addition, once you are in the project you are acting in, you (ofc) shouldn’t constantly be doing the accuracy/EV thing. Sometimes, though, it’s probably worth taking a step back and doing it to consider opportunity cost (on some marked date every x amount of time to avoid decision/acting paralysis).
Nice to hear from you, Noah! one can be inclined to say something like “I’m an actor, so I don’t have to do any of the accuracy-based forecasting, etc,” which I think is definitely wrong. totally agree
One should choose which direction they act based on some somewhat accuracy/EV + vibes. Otherwise, there are infinite ways to act and most of them, without any foresight, fail even with the type of agency you’re describing. lets write something on bounded rationality together
In addition, once you are in the project you are acting in, you (ofc) shouldn’t constantly be doing the accuracy/EV thing. Sometimes, though, it’s probably worth taking a step back and doing it to consider opportunity cost (on some marked date every x amount of time to avoid decision/acting paralysis). agree
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