I generally choose on a month by month basis. I don’t claim this is effective.
Things that I guess might be the most effective in the coming months? EA funds, Rethink and Animal Welfare stuff.
(I find it uncomfy to talk about justifications for this but whatever. Feel free to correct errors here)
EA funds—I remember reading @Linch’s case that money there was really marginal when he wrote it. I think they’ve had more money since but it still might be very effective.
Rethink—I know and trust Peter and often see reflections of work I think is interesting in Rethink (eg the surveys and animal weights). If their animal weights are even 1% likely then that implies a big shift in how we should spread impact.
Animal Welfare stuff—seems underrated compared to humans.
Why not AI?
Well my P(doom) is 2-8% which is comparably lower than many people’s. Also I am unsure that marginal money is spent well. I hear about and see non-trivial levels of grift. I have given to AI pause stuff before and might do that, but currently I feel like AI stuff is where I want it in terms of many of the axes I think I could donate to effect.
What else would excite me?
Sustainable immigration stuff. I think if that could happen there would be a lot of good outcomes pretty cheaply. Note I don’t mean more immigration, I mean more sustainable stuff. How can we increase levels of immgration without increasing backlash (in the UK there has been a huge increase in concern about immigration mainly caused by the government)
I generally choose on a month by month basis. I don’t claim this is effective.
Things that I guess might be the most effective in the coming months? EA funds, Rethink and Animal Welfare stuff.
(I find it uncomfy to talk about justifications for this but whatever. Feel free to correct errors here)
EA funds—I remember reading @Linch’s case that money there was really marginal when he wrote it. I think they’ve had more money since but it still might be very effective.
Rethink—I know and trust Peter and often see reflections of work I think is interesting in Rethink (eg the surveys and animal weights). If their animal weights are even 1% likely then that implies a big shift in how we should spread impact.
Animal Welfare stuff—seems underrated compared to humans.
Why not AI?
Well my P(doom) is 2-8% which is comparably lower than many people’s. Also I am unsure that marginal money is spent well. I hear about and see non-trivial levels of grift. I have given to AI pause stuff before and might do that, but currently I feel like AI stuff is where I want it in terms of many of the axes I think I could donate to effect.
What else would excite me?
Sustainable immigration stuff. I think if that could happen there would be a lot of good outcomes pretty cheaply. Note I don’t mean more immigration, I mean more sustainable stuff. How can we increase levels of immgration without increasing backlash (in the UK there has been a huge increase in concern about immigration mainly caused by the government)
Can you share more?