Robin Hanson argues in Age of Em that annualized growth rates will reach over 400,000% as a result of automation of human labor with full substitutes (e.g. through brain emulations)! He’s a weird citation for thinking the same technology can’t manage 20% growth.
”I really don’t have strong arguments here. I guess partly from experience working on an automated trading system (i.e. actually trying to automate something)”
This and the usual economist arguments against fast AGI growth seem to be more about denying the premise of ever succeeding at AGI/automating human substitute minds (by extrapolation from a world where we have not yet built human substitutes to conclude they won’t be produced in the future), rather than addressing the growth that can then be enabled by the resulting AI.
Robin Hanson argues in Age of Em that annualized growth rates will reach over 400,000% as a result of automation of human labor with full substitutes (e.g. through brain emulations)! He’s a weird citation for thinking the same technology can’t manage 20% growth.
”I really don’t have strong arguments here. I guess partly from experience working on an automated trading system (i.e. actually trying to automate something)”
This and the usual economist arguments against fast AGI growth seem to be more about denying the premise of ever succeeding at AGI/automating human substitute minds (by extrapolation from a world where we have not yet built human substitutes to conclude they won’t be produced in the future), rather than addressing the growth that can then be enabled by the resulting AI.