I don’t even know that it’s more interesting. What’s interesting is different for different people, but if I’m honest with myself I probably find timelines forecasting more interesting than decision theory, even though I find decision theory pretty damn interesting.
If it is any indication, I’m plenty skeptical of the value of marginal timelines work—it’s a very busy area, and one that probably needs less work than it gets - I suspect partly because it has lots of visibility.
I don’t even know that it’s more interesting. What’s interesting is different for different people, but if I’m honest with myself I probably find timelines forecasting more interesting than decision theory, even though I find decision theory pretty damn interesting.
If it is any indication, I’m plenty skeptical of the value of marginal timelines work—it’s a very busy area, and one that probably needs less work than it gets - I suspect partly because it has lots of visibility.
Fair enough!