Maybe I’m being too facile here, but I genuinely think that even just taking all these numbers, making them visible in some place, and then taking the median of them, and giving a ranking according to that, and then allowing people to find things they think are perverse within that ranking, would be a pretty solid start.
I think producing suspect work is often the precursor to producing good work.
And I think there’s enough estimates that one could produce a thing which just gathers all the estimates up and displays them. That would be sort of a survey or something, which wouldn’t therefore make it bad in itself even if the answers were sort of universally agreed to be pretty dubious. But I think it would point to the underlying work which needs to be done more.
How different is that from ranking the results from RP’s cross-cause cost-effectiveness model (CCM)? I collected estimates from this in a comment 2 years ago.
Maybe I’m being too facile here, but I genuinely think that even just taking all these numbers, making them visible in some place, and then taking the median of them, and giving a ranking according to that, and then allowing people to find things they think are perverse within that ranking, would be a pretty solid start.
I think producing suspect work is often the precursor to producing good work.
And I think there’s enough estimates that one could produce a thing which just gathers all the estimates up and displays them. That would be sort of a survey or something, which wouldn’t therefore make it bad in itself even if the answers were sort of universally agreed to be pretty dubious. But I think it would point to the underlying work which needs to be done more.
How different is that from ranking the results from RP’s cross-cause cost-effectiveness model (CCM)? I collected estimates from this in a comment 2 years ago.