I mostly agree with this though I think there’s more extremization[1]: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4fqwBmmqi2ZGn9o7j/notes-on-fatalities-from-ai-takeover
Anything like 35% death rate seems implausible to me if I think through the mechanics of a takeover, both <5% and >95% seem more plausible to me, including in very violent takeovers.
I mostly agree with this though I think there’s more extremization[1]: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/4fqwBmmqi2ZGn9o7j/notes-on-fatalities-from-ai-takeover
Anything like 35% death rate seems implausible to me if I think through the mechanics of a takeover, both <5% and >95% seem more plausible to me, including in very violent takeovers.