Babbling on Singleton Governance

A Sin­gle­ton is a world or­der in which there is a sin­gle de­ci­sion-mak­ing agency at the high­est level. See https://​​nick­bostrom.com/​​fut/​​sin­gle­ton.html for a suc­cinct sum­mary, and some anal­y­sis of pos­si­ble pros and cons.

Let’s as­sume ex­traor­di­nary tech­nolog­i­cal break­throughs that may cause one en­tity (a state or a fi­nan­cial com­pany) to have mas­sive eco­nomic dom­i­nance (say: slow AI take­off, free en­ergy from fu­sion re­ac­tors, ad­vanced nan­otech) or mas­sive offen­sive dom­i­nance (cy­ber-war­fare ca­pa­bil­ities, un­de­tectable nu­clear weapons, DNA-tar­geted bioweapons). In this case, that en­tity may de­cide to claim power over civ­i­liza­tion.

Con­sid­er­ing that it is pos­si­ble that a sin­gle­ton is un­avoid­able, and that it may be easy to re­main locked in to such a gov­er­nance, it is of ob­vi­ous im­por­tance to the fu­ture of hu­man­ity.

The main idea I want to bring out in this post is that the for­ma­tion of a sin­gle­ton in the near fu­ture is per­haps likely (even with­out strong AI or a great power war), and I’d like to see fur­ther dis­cus­sion on this topic.