I’m curious if approaches like those I describe here (end of the article; building on this which uses mini-publics) for determining rec system policy help address the concerns of your first 3 bullets. I should probably do a write-up or modification specifically for the EA audience (this is for a policy audience), but it ideally gets some of the point across re. how to do “deliberative retrospective judgment” in a way that is more likely to avoid problematic outcomes (I will also be publishing an expanded version that has much more sourcing).
These approaches could help! I don’t have strong reason to believe that they will, nor do I have strong reason to believe that they won’t, and I also don’t have strong reason to believe that the existing system is particularly problematic. I am just generally very uncertain and am mostly saying that other people should also be uncertain (or should explain why they are more confident).
Re: deliberative retrospective judgments as a solution: I assume you are going to be predicting what the deliberative retrospective judgment is in most cases (otherwise it would be far too expensive); it is unclear how easy it will be to do these sorts of predictions. Bullet points 1 and 2 were possibilities where the prediction was hard; I didn’t see on a quick skim why you think they wouldn’t happen. I agree “bridging divides” probably avoids bullet point 3, but I could easily tell different just-so stories where “bridging divides” is a bad choice (e.g. current affairs / news / politics almost always leads to divides, and so is no longer recommended; the population becomes extremely ignorant as a result worsening political dynamics).
I’m curious if approaches like those I describe here (end of the article; building on this which uses mini-publics) for determining rec system policy help address the concerns of your first 3 bullets. I should probably do a write-up or modification specifically for the EA audience (this is for a policy audience), but it ideally gets some of the point across re. how to do “deliberative retrospective judgment” in a way that is more likely to avoid problematic outcomes (I will also be publishing an expanded version that has much more sourcing).
These approaches could help! I don’t have strong reason to believe that they will, nor do I have strong reason to believe that they won’t, and I also don’t have strong reason to believe that the existing system is particularly problematic. I am just generally very uncertain and am mostly saying that other people should also be uncertain (or should explain why they are more confident).
Re: deliberative retrospective judgments as a solution: I assume you are going to be predicting what the deliberative retrospective judgment is in most cases (otherwise it would be far too expensive); it is unclear how easy it will be to do these sorts of predictions. Bullet points 1 and 2 were possibilities where the prediction was hard; I didn’t see on a quick skim why you think they wouldn’t happen. I agree “bridging divides” probably avoids bullet point 3, but I could easily tell different just-so stories where “bridging divides” is a bad choice (e.g. current affairs / news / politics almost always leads to divides, and so is no longer recommended; the population becomes extremely ignorant as a result worsening political dynamics).