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I don’t know if it’s exactly this that will save all communication or anything, but I would be excited to see if this kind of thing could be used to quickly convey takes on even hard community issues in addition to object level things, especially since it points in the direction of considering multiple hypotheses.
e.g. I really loved this picture from this post and even made this speadsheet so you could put in your own numbers, and it seems like a standard part of data visualization to let people see the differences between distributions clearly
Cool spreadsheet! Yeah a tool similar to the square one but in a horizontal line instead seems more useful.
Also: Confido works for intuitively eliciting probabilities
Seeing Theory is also a beautiful guide to visualizing probability.
It looks great, and there are a few others I like as well, but does this let you visualize your own credences? That’s what seems like the value here, to me.
Nope, I skimmed the post and missed that that was the specific goal. My bad!