Statistics

TagLast edit: 7 Jun 2022 18:26 UTC by Pablo

Statistics is the discipline that concerns the collection, organization, analysis, interpretation, and presentation of data.

This tag isn’t meant for posts that estimate the impact of specific charities or interventions, but instead for posts about “doing statistics” in general.

Related entries

data science | impact assessment

List of ways in which cost-effectiveness estimates can be misleading

saulius20 Aug 2019 18:05 UTC

234 points

37 comments13 min readEA link

Why CEA has stopped using Net Promoter Score

Ben_West🔸3 Feb 2022 15:43 UTC

85 points

7 comments3 min readEA link

Shapley values: Better than counterfactuals

NunoSempere10 Oct 2019 10:26 UTC

152 points

54 comments15 min readEA link

How much do you believe your results?

Eric Neyman5 May 2023 19:51 UTC

211 points

14 comments1 min readEA link

Expected value and uncertainty without full Monte Carlo simulations

Vasco Grilo🔸5 Jan 2024 8:57 UTC

12 points

2 comments2 min readEA link

‘Dissolving’ AI Risk – Parameter Uncertainty in AI Future Forecasting

Froolow18 Oct 2022 22:54 UTC

111 points

63 comments39 min readEA link

The accidental experiment that saved 700 lives (IRS & health insurance)

Lizka19 Apr 2022 13:28 UTC

42 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

(statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu)

Making better estimates with scarce information

Stan Pinsent22 Mar 2023 16:29 UTC

55 points

16 comments13 min readEA link

How much does performance differ between people?

Max_Daniel25 Mar 2021 22:56 UTC

119 points

77 comments6 min readEA link

David Manley: Gentle Bayesian updating

EA Global25 Oct 2020 6:56 UTC

7 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

Does putting kids in school now put money in their pockets later? Revisiting a natural experiment in Indonesia

David Roodman25 Nov 2022 21:09 UTC

125 points

24 comments18 min readEA link

Biases in our estimates of Scale, Neglectedness and Solvability?

MichaelStJules24 Feb 2020 18:39 UTC

93 points

12 comments7 min readEA link

Eva Vivalt: Global poverty II

EA Global28 Aug 2015 8:37 UTC

6 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

Expected value estimates you can take (somewhat) literally

Gregory Lewis🔸24 Nov 2014 15:55 UTC

23 points

25 comments14 min readEA link

[Question] What are some low-information priors that you find practically useful for thinking about the world?

Linch7 Aug 2020 4:38 UTC

63 points

31 comments1 min readEA link

[Link] The Optimizer’s Curse & Wrong-Way Reductions

Chris Smith4 Apr 2019 13:28 UTC

94 points

61 comments1 min readEA link

Statistics for Lazy People, Part 2

Hmash14 Apr 2021 12:15 UTC

16 points

2 comments6 min readEA link

Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of GiveWell’s cost-effectiveness analyses

cole_haus31 Aug 2019 23:33 UTC

86 points

24 comments58 min readEA link

A beginner data scientist tries her hand at biosecurity

ElizabethE23 Oct 2020 15:20 UTC

35 points

2 comments3 min readEA link

On the robustness of cost-effectiveness estimates

William_MacAskill24 May 2013 4:00 UTC

5 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

Julia Galef and Angus Deaton: podcast discussion of RCT issues (excerpts)

Aaron Gertler 🔸4 Jan 2021 21:35 UTC

29 points

5 comments9 min readEA link

(rationallyspeakingpodcast.org)

Eva Vivalt: Choosing effective causes in a radically uncertain world

EA Global21 Nov 2020 8:12 UTC

7 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(www.youtube.com)

Five Ways to Handle Flow-Through Effects

Peter Wildeford28 Jul 2016 3:39 UTC

40 points

3 comments5 min readEA link

Estimating long-term treatment effects without long-term outcome data

Global Priorities Institute29 Sep 2020 13:30 UTC

3 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

(globalprioritiesinstitute.org)

Giving What We Can—Pledge page trial (EA Market Testing)

david_reinstein16 May 2022 22:39 UTC

56 points

4 comments3 min readEA link

Reality is often underpowered

Gregory Lewis🔸10 Oct 2019 13:14 UTC

234 points

17 comments5 min readEA link

[Stats4EA] Expectations are not Outcomes

matthewp18 May 2020 22:59 UTC

37 points

5 comments1 min readEA link

[Linkpost] Michael Huemer on the case for Bayesian statistics

John G. Halstead7 Feb 2023 17:52 UTC

20 points

2 comments1 min readEA link

Shapley values: an introductory example

Stan Pinsent12 Nov 2023 13:35 UTC

15 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

Request: Datasets with measurement error and missing data?

Emma Skarstein20 Apr 2023 14:56 UTC

8 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

When pooling forecasts, use the geometric mean of odds

Jaime Sevilla3 Sep 2021 9:58 UTC

124 points

62 comments8 min readEA link

[Question] Is there a calibration training tool for ‘percentile rankings from a reference group’?

david_reinstein14 Sep 2024 21:55 UTC

8 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

Probability distributions of Cost-Effectiveness can be misleading

Lorenzo Buonanno🔸18 Jul 2022 17:42 UTC

70 points

49 comments1 min readEA link

Use Normal Predictions

Jan Christian Refsgaard9 Jan 2022 17:52 UTC

12 points

1 comment6 min readEA link

(www.lesswrong.com)

Introducing Stanford’s new Humane & Sustainable Food Lab

MMathur30 Apr 2023 1:14 UTC

84 points

12 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] When should the inverse-variance method be applied to distributions?

Vasco Grilo🔸14 Jun 2022 14:33 UTC

5 points

6 comments1 min readEA link

Estimating value from pairwise comparisons

Jonas Moss5 Oct 2022 11:23 UTC

34 points

3 comments1 min readEA link

(blog.jonasmoss.com)

Statistics for Lazy People, Part 1

Hmash29 Mar 2021 10:59 UTC

44 points

3 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] How Often Does ¬Correlation ⇏ ¬Causation?

niplav2 Apr 2024 18:19 UTC

5 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

[Question] Does studying stats rather than maths reduce impactful career options?

Transient Altruist15 Sep 2023 16:08 UTC

2 points

3 comments1 min readEA link

Political Science Quantitative Methods and EA

Mahendra Prasad16 Sep 2022 23:28 UTC

12 points

1 comment4 min readEA link

[Question] Sample size and clustering advice needed

brb24329 Jul 2020 14:21 UTC

15 points

6 comments1 min readEA link

How to determine distribution parameters from quantiles

Vasco Grilo🔸30 May 2022 15:20 UTC

23 points

6 comments2 min readEA link

Prior X%—<1%: A quantified ‘epistemic status’ of your prediction.

tcelferact2 Jun 2023 15:51 UTC

11 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

America’s 100 Charities receiving most donations

Pat Myron 🔸22 Jan 2023 18:13 UTC

28 points

2 comments1 min readEA link

(www.forbes.com)

Visualisation of Probability Mass

brook25 Jan 2023 15:09 UTC

25 points

6 comments2 min readEA link

A technical note: Bayesianism is not logic, statistics is not rationality

jonathanstray6 Sep 2016 15:47 UTC

1 point

7 comments1 min readEA link

Why Cost-Effectiveness ≠ Effectiveness/Cost

Wes Reisen17 Dec 2023 8:52 UTC

0 points

5 comments3 min readEA link

Take care with notation for uncertain quantities

Gregory Lewis🔸16 Sep 2020 19:26 UTC

39 points

2 comments5 min readEA link

How accurately does anyone know the global distribution of income?

Robert_Wiblin6 Apr 2017 4:49 UTC

22 points

28 comments7 min readEA link

A peek at pairwise preference estimation in economics, marketing, and statistics

Jonas Moss8 Oct 2022 4:56 UTC

31 points

5 comments3 min readEA link

(blog.jonasmoss.com)

AI X-Risk: Integrating on the Shoulders of Giants

TD_Pilditch1 Nov 2022 16:07 UTC

34 points

0 comments47 min readEA link

[Stats4EA] Uncertain Probabilities

matthewp26 May 2020 21:40 UTC

25 points

7 comments1 min readEA link

Turning percentages back into people: personalizing quantification

sky12 Sep 2020 14:30 UTC

25 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

How to Understand and Mitigate Risk (Crosspost from LessWrong)

Halffull12 Mar 2019 10:24 UTC

17 points

7 comments16 min readEA link

Space Exploration & Satellites on Our World in Data

EdMathieu14 Jun 2022 12:05 UTC

57 points

2 comments1 min readEA link

(ourworldindata.org)

Quantum computing timelines

Jaime Sevilla15 Sep 2020 14:15 UTC

28 points

6 comments3 min readEA link

EA Survey 2020 Series: Donation Data

david_reinstein26 Oct 2021 15:31 UTC

49 points

4 comments48 min readEA link

Updating on the passage of time and conditional prediction curves

Jonas Moss11 Aug 2022 18:18 UTC

37 points

6 comments12 min readEA link

Prospecting for Gold (Owen Cotton-Barratt)

EA Global18 Nov 2016 12:11 UTC

44 points

5 comments21 min readEA link

Iqisa: A Library For Handling Forecasting Datasets

niplav14 Apr 2023 15:15 UTC

46 points

4 comments2 min readEA link

Weighted Factor Models: Consider using the geometric mean instead of the arithmetic mean

Soemano Zeijlmans21 Oct 2024 19:57 UTC

59 points

12 comments10 min readEA link

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