(Btw, on non-proliferation and arms racing, there are some relevant forecasts as part of the Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament I’m putting together with Metaculus, and there will be more put up next week and then again over the coming months. I’ll also write up some summaries later.)
(Btw, on non-proliferation and arms racing, there are some relevant forecasts as part of the Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament I’m putting together with Metaculus, and there will be more put up next week and then again over the coming months. I’ll also write up some summaries later.)