Just coming back to this- thanks for these comments! In light of your and Lark’s comments I’d no longer endorse this section: “Some research on nuclear winter...”. I’ll be very interested to hear your coming
However I’m still very concerned by the precedent this sets for nuclear non-proliferation. This move seems a pretty clear breach of the non-proliferation treaty , and the risks it created of a new nuclear arms race remains the central thing that I’m worried about.
Perhaps more relevant to that since this was published is the new of the new AUKUS security pact. I’m really glad to see that being discussed on the EA Forum here.
(Btw, on non-proliferation and arms racing, there are some relevant forecasts as part of the Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament I’m putting together with Metaculus, and there will be more put up next week and then again over the coming months. I’ll also write up some summaries later.)
Just coming back to this- thanks for these comments! In light of your and Lark’s comments I’d no longer endorse this section: “Some research on nuclear winter...”. I’ll be very interested to hear your coming
However I’m still very concerned by the precedent this sets for nuclear non-proliferation. This move seems a pretty clear breach of the non-proliferation treaty , and the risks it created of a new nuclear arms race remains the central thing that I’m worried about.
Perhaps more relevant to that since this was published is the new of the new AUKUS security pact. I’m really glad to see that being discussed on the EA Forum here.
(Btw, on non-proliferation and arms racing, there are some relevant forecasts as part of the Nuclear Risk Forecasting Tournament I’m putting together with Metaculus, and there will be more put up next week and then again over the coming months. I’ll also write up some summaries later.)