Incredible report, bravo! Like probably anyone, I don’t agree completely with the ratings, but the structure and research helped me think through my own priorities. I was already interested in supporting Delaney, so this motivates me to ask more people to give him a donation to get on the debate stage.
I have some minor suggestions, which I left in this copy.
Beyond that, my only non-minor suggestion is to consider mentioning domestic poverty as a (potential) priority area, even if it ends up not included due to the thresholds. Depending on the poverty line, US poverty contributes to some premature deaths, though I haven’t researched what level would be associated with 100,000 per year. Better-designed antipoverty programs could also improve GWP through improved incentives (especially, I’m guessing, with respect to SSDI), though this could be slight.
CSS2 discusses antipoverty programs like UBI and EITC in the budgeting section, though with a different aim. Yang’s UBI isn’t fully funded (I’ve estimated it’d add $1.5T to the annual deficit in static simulation), and other antipoverty proposals like Harris’s LIFT Act also don’t include funding proposals, but I’d consider emphasis to predict antipoverty action.
Another antipoverty bill considered effective by economists is the American Family Act, which is essentially a child dividend. Cash transfers to families with children improve kids’ long-term outcomes (Vox). All 2020 candidates in Congress are cosponsors, and all except Sanders cosponsored its predecessor in the last session. Columbia and Vox have summarized the core antipoverty bills.
I am now leaning towards separating cash transfers/antipoverty programs away from taxation. When I next put major time into this (I’m not currently, actually) I plan to do that.
I’m always looking for other people’s ratings, depending on the nature of the disagreement I can compromise between multiple ratings for better accuracy.
Incredible report, bravo! Like probably anyone, I don’t agree completely with the ratings, but the structure and research helped me think through my own priorities. I was already interested in supporting Delaney, so this motivates me to ask more people to give him a donation to get on the debate stage.
I have some minor suggestions, which I left in this copy.
Beyond that, my only non-minor suggestion is to consider mentioning domestic poverty as a (potential) priority area, even if it ends up not included due to the thresholds. Depending on the poverty line, US poverty contributes to some premature deaths, though I haven’t researched what level would be associated with 100,000 per year. Better-designed antipoverty programs could also improve GWP through improved incentives (especially, I’m guessing, with respect to SSDI), though this could be slight.
CSS2 discusses antipoverty programs like UBI and EITC in the budgeting section, though with a different aim. Yang’s UBI isn’t fully funded (I’ve estimated it’d add $1.5T to the annual deficit in static simulation), and other antipoverty proposals like Harris’s LIFT Act also don’t include funding proposals, but I’d consider emphasis to predict antipoverty action.
Another antipoverty bill considered effective by economists is the American Family Act, which is essentially a child dividend. Cash transfers to families with children improve kids’ long-term outcomes (Vox). All 2020 candidates in Congress are cosponsors, and all except Sanders cosponsored its predecessor in the last session. Columbia and Vox have summarized the core antipoverty bills.
Thank you for your stellar work.
Thanks for giving such detailed feedback.
I am now leaning towards separating cash transfers/antipoverty programs away from taxation. When I next put major time into this (I’m not currently, actually) I plan to do that.
I’m always looking for other people’s ratings, depending on the nature of the disagreement I can compromise between multiple ratings for better accuracy.