what operationalization would you accept? Perhaps at some point in the next 5 years a court finds that FTX/Alameda were doing this? Perhaps CZ/Binance publicly anouncing that they’ve found this to be the case when examining FTX’s books?
FWIW I would be hesitant to bet on this because I would lose the bet in worlds where the EA community has less money. Not to say it wouldn’t be worth it at sufficiently good odds.
Sabs — do you think you want to write (negatively) about cryptocurrency in a focused way, as a longer form piece? I think this would be valuable compared to a lot of smaller comments.
Huh, I took ‘confidently’ to mean you’d be willing to offer much better odds than 1:1.
I’m going to try to stop paying so much attention to the story while it unfolds, which means I’m retracting my interest in betting. Feel free to call this a win (as with Joel).
Can you give an operationalization of this, and how much money you are willing to bet?
what operationalization would you accept? Perhaps at some point in the next 5 years a court finds that FTX/Alameda were doing this? Perhaps CZ/Binance publicly anouncing that they’ve found this to be the case when examining FTX’s books?
FWIW I would be hesitant to bet on this because I would lose the bet in worlds where the EA community has less money. Not to say it wouldn’t be worth it at sufficiently good odds.
Yes, interested in taking the over!
no longer endorsed, huh?
The site has been taken private. https://www.alameda-research.com/
Sabs — do you think you want to write (negatively) about cryptocurrency in a focused way, as a longer form piece? I think this would be valuable compared to a lot of smaller comments.
how much are you paying
removed earlier today. well done!
If there’s any money left over after you’ve agree a line with Joel and Nuno, I’ve got next.
we can do 10k at evens
Huh, I took ‘confidently’ to mean you’d be willing to offer much better odds than 1:1.
I’m going to try to stop paying so much attention to the story while it unfolds, which means I’m retracting my interest in betting. Feel free to call this a win (as with Joel).
well of course I have to try to start negotiating the bet at completely terrible odds for you, how else am I suppose to make any money?
how much money are you willing to bet, huh?