I never quite know how to engage with sociological analysis of this sort. It attacks longtermism not by its arguments as a philosophical stance, but by its function as a social group.
This is however, how the world works. If someone powerful proclaims an altruistic motive for a move that just happens to increase their power (like Elon entering MAGA and trying to reduce the power of government), alarm bells should be going off.
Moreover, Longtermism should not be central to our society. Longtermism provides a convenient justification for all sorts of monstrosities, simply because it says all of us are less important than trillions of people in the future. That’s not something that democracy really is compatible with.
I propose that no more than 1% of our societal resources go towards long-term thought and planning. That’s much more than we do today, but it’s less dangerous to humans currently alive.
Good post!
Personally, my involvement with EA has been important for increasing my moral ambition. I have learned that I can both live a good life and contribute meaningfully to the world.
One thing that changed is that nowadays I’m much less certain about the correctness of opinions that are mainstream in EA. EA’s focus has shifted away from rigorous RCTs towards counting neurons and funding speculative AI Safety interventions.
I interact with EA as a community of friendly ambitious nerds, but I also find enjoyment in public sector nerds, burners, the tech scene, etc.
I agree, generalist EA content is kind of boring to me now.