Ozzie Gooen

Karma: 11,964

I’m currently researching forecasting and epistemics as part of the Quantified Uncertainty Research Institute.

Information-Dense Conference Badges

Ozzie Gooen13 Jun 2025 17:52 UTC

49 points

4 comments4 min readEA link

(ozziegooen.substack.com)

Defining “Bullshit”: Limitations and Related Frameworks

Ozzie Gooen12 Jun 2025 22:43 UTC

9 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

(ozziegooen.substack.com)

Keeping “Epistemics” Broad: An Early Exploration

Ozzie Gooen3 Jun 2025 20:59 UTC

11 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

A Defense of Mid-Tier EA/LW Writing

Ozzie Gooen2 Jun 2025 17:36 UTC

123 points

16 comments3 min readEA link

(ozziegooen.substack.com)

Nuanced Models for the Influence of Information

Ozzie Gooen10 Apr 2025 18:28 UTC

23 points

1 comment1 min readEA link

Favorite Recent LLM Prompts & Tips?

Ozzie Gooen18 Mar 2025 4:25 UTC

33 points

13 comments1 min readEA link

A Sketch of AI-Driven Epistemic Lock-In

Ozzie Gooen5 Mar 2025 22:40 UTC

15 points

1 comment3 min readEA link

6 (Potential) Misconceptions about AI Intellectuals

Ozzie Gooen14 Feb 2025 23:51 UTC

30 points

2 comments12 min readEA link

$300 Fermi Model Competition

Ozzie Gooen3 Feb 2025 19:47 UTC

32 points

8 comments2 min readEA link

AI for Resolving Forecasting Questions: An Early Exploration

Ozzie Gooen16 Jan 2025 21:40 UTC

22 points

0 comments9 min readEA link

Introducing Squiggle AI

Ozzie Gooen3 Jan 2025 17:53 UTC

84 points

13 comments8 min readEA link

Enhancing Mathematical Modeling with LLMs: Goals, Challenges, and Evaluations

Ozzie Gooen28 Oct 2024 21:37 UTC

11 points

3 comments15 min readEA link

My Current Claims and Cruxes on LLM Forecasting & Epistemics

Ozzie Gooen26 Jun 2024 0:40 UTC

47 points

7 comments24 min readEA link

LLM-Secured Systems: A General-Purpose Tool For Structured Transparency

Ozzie Gooen18 Jun 2024 0:20 UTC

36 points

1 comment21 min readEA link

“Full Automation” is a Slippery Metric

Ozzie Gooen11 Jun 2024 19:53 UTC

20 points

1 comment2 min readEA link

A Case for Superhuman Governance, using AI

Ozzie Gooen7 Jun 2024 0:10 UTC

59 points

26 comments10 min readEA link

Ideas for Next-Generation Writing Platforms, using LLMs

Ozzie Gooen4 Jun 2024 18:40 UTC

17 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

My Skeptical Opinion on the Repugnant Conclusion

Ozzie Gooen27 May 2024 22:56 UTC

16 points

22 comments7 min readEA link

Higher-Order Forecasts

Ozzie Gooen22 May 2024 21:49 UTC

36 points

12 comments3 min readEA link

Scorable Functions: A Format for Algorithmic Forecasting

Ozzie Gooen21 May 2024 4:09 UTC

46 points

8 comments8 min readEA link