Péter Drótos

• Péter Drótos 6 Sep 2024 10:40 UTC

  1 point

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: abrahamrowe’s comment on: Peter Wilde­ford’s Shortform

  Is there a proposed/​proven way of coordinating on the prioritization?

  Without a good feedback loop I can imagine the majority of the people just jump on the same path which could then run into diminishing returns if there isn’t sufficient capacity.

  It would be intersting to see at least the number of people at different career stages on a given path. I assume some data should be available from regular surveys. And maybe also some estimates on the capacity of different paths.

  And I assume the career coaching services likely have an even more detailed picture including missing talent/​skills/​experience that they can utilize for more personalized advice.

• Péter Drótos 30 Dec 2023 20:01 UTC

  6 points

  1 ∶ 0

  on: If EAs Should In­vest, What Should We In­vest In?

  I’d encourage you to consider separating your personal runway from your donations. Even if you are thinking of taking career breaks/​pay cuts to invest in yourself for a higher overall impact you may even want to separate these from your personal safety-net bucket.

  Otherwise I think you listed the main points. I’d only add that if you are happy to trust expert grantmakers you can donate now to normal funds (may not help with cause are prioritization though but I think you may find some expert opions on that also) or patient funds (e.g. Founders Pledge Patient Philanthropy Fund) as well and let them take care of the rest.

  When I tried to look for advice on investing a few months earlier I only found a few relevant posts with detailed advice. Of those I found this one the most useful (check appendixes as well): https://​​forum.effectivealtruism.org/​​posts/​​YjN6cGoXxPZeqCh4Z/​​eas-and-ea-orgs-should-move-cash-from-low-interest-to-high

  You may also search for “impact investing” about minimizing bad /​ maximizing good of your investments. I personally felt that it does not worth the effort of going deep into this.

• Péter Drótos 22 Dec 2023 23:57 UTC

  1 point

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: JulianHazell’s comment on: AI gov­er­nance tal­ent pro­files I’d like to see ap­ply for OP funding

  Great to hear there’s work in progress on this! Looking forward to it!

  Also thanks for the suggestions, will try to get the most out of these!

• Péter Drótos 20 Dec 2023 16:55 UTC

  8 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: AI gov­er­nance tal­ent pro­files I’d like to see ap­ply for OP funding

  This is really encouraging, thanks for writing it!
  
  I filled the form and am also planning to apply for CDTF but to be honest I’m pretty uncertain about what the next steps should be in my case. Having a pure tech background (I think I qualify for #1) I find it really hard to navigate the policy space. I’m struggling with questions like which opportunities to apply for, what skills to learn/​improve. I think mentoring would also be crucial for transitions like this. Is there also a programe out there to help with that? (Relevant fellowships seem to be flooded with good applicants right now).

• Péter Drótos 19 Dec 2023 15:31 UTC

  4 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: Cen­ter on Long-Term Risk: An­nual re­view and fundraiser 2023

  Thanks for sharing all these details!
  
  I’d also be interested in CLR’s view on funding and talent constraints. The post says:

  This budget would allow us to hire more researchers

  At the same time currently it seems there is a large interest of good candidates for at least the entry level opportunities. E.g. the 2023 summer fellowship:

  We were surprised by the high number of good applications this year, meaning that competition was particularly strong.

  So is talent constraint a main bottleneck right now and what are the expectations for the coming years? Also if the following rough guidline on Earning to Give on the CRS Career advice page seems appropriate:

  we would recommend earning to give if you have the potential to make a lot of money (donating $200,000 per year or more, as a rough guideline)

• Péter Drótos 18 Dec 2023 15:57 UTC

  4 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Jason Clinton’s comment on: EA In­fosec: skill up in or make a tran­si­tion to in­fosec via this book club

  Would also be interested how it went and if there are plans for a second round.

• Péter Drótos 18 Nov 2023 6:29 UTC

  3 points

  1 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Luke Freeman’s comment on: Notes on not tak­ing the GWWC pledge (yet)

  Thanks for clarifying, I think the arguments makes sense! The FAQ is clear on this and it’s good to see some of it’s background.

  I can accept that it’s a tricky situation and the overall best way to handle it is to consider a resign.

• Péter Drótos 17 Nov 2023 20:37 UTC

  1 point

  1 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Jack Lewars’s comment on: Notes on not tak­ing the GWWC pledge (yet)

  Yes, the wellbeing argument still applies even after the paycut if you’re still substantially above the regional minimum. But if you compare it to your original wage, given that you only committed to a barely noticable sacrifice, which the paycut itself likely even surpasses signifficantly, that additional 10% might just be too big of an ask.

  However if one is also just fine with earning around the lower wage and even donating from that, then I think considering something like taking the further pledge may also be an interesting idea.

• Péter Drótos 16 Nov 2023 15:31 UTC

  14 points

  2 ∶ 0

  on: Notes on not tak­ing the GWWC pledge (yet)

  I might be underthinking this but to me the 10% pledge is only about acknowledging that I earn significantly above the minimum wage in the region and hence giving up on 10% will likely not have a significant effect on my wellbeing.
  
  Then for factoring in the tradeoffs related to direct work, a starting point I could think of so far is if funding would be available to cover them. If you think about it, you decided to take a tradeoff to pursue a direct work opportunity. You could have also just kept earning and started donating the difference to a fund. Now imagine someone else comes with a funding application to the same fund. This other project has the exact same expected returns as your direct work project. The only difference is that this other project requires funding. Assume that the amount required is the same as the difference you’d donate. You might see where this goes. The two projects are equivalent from the fund’s perspective (for each project to get done the fund is worse off by X money). This means—if I did not mess it up—you taking the tradeoff for the project is at least as good as donating the difference to the fund (assuming the fund would be happy to trade off this amount of money for the project you are doing).
  
  So I’m not sure if taking a tradeoff like this would technically count for the pledge, but I think the result would be at least as good as donating the difference to a given fund. And so far I assumed that this is what matters.
  
  (Note that I also had a likely not too successful attempt of writing up this idea from a different perspective)

Largest AI model in 2 years from $10B

• Péter Drótos 23 Oct 2023 21:59 UTC

  3 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Magnus Vinding’s comment on: New Book: “Rea­soned Poli­tics” + Why I have writ­ten a book about politics

  Great to hear that there’s something in mind. Also thanks for highlighting the difficulties. I definitely wanted to use software for it but if it’s not as easy as it first sounds, then I’ll just save myself from the struggle and leave it to an experienced person.

• Péter Drótos 19 Oct 2023 11:41 UTC

  4 points

  0 ∶ 0

  on: New Book: “Rea­soned Poli­tics” + Why I have writ­ten a book about politics

  Just re-found this piece, looking forward to reading it!
  
  Are there plans to have an audio version? I remembered at the Avoding the Worst post there were suggestions on how to convert text to audio. If it’s not in progress/​planned I might give it a try.

• Péter Drótos 7 Oct 2023 19:29 UTC

  3 points

  1 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Benevolent_Rain’s comment on: The Im­pact Case for Tak­ing a Break from Your Non-EA Job

  +1 part-timer here. I was very frustrated back then. Having learnt a lot of interesting ideas about using one’s career for social impact I felt that I do not have sufficient time to explore these ideas to the depth I wanted to. I wanted to head towards a transition but I felt that I got stuck. So earlier this year I told my employer that I’m thinking of quitting because of this (note that I’m in a furtunate position of having experience that is currently in high demand, so I could relatively easily find a job similar to my previous if needed). But they suggested that I could do part-time instead if I wanted to and I accepted their offer.

  It did not just give me time to explore the research around high-impact careers but now also allows me to spend signifficant time on applications, work trials and volunteering projects for testing my fit and upskilling.

  One thing that I’m still thinking about is that I was in a fortunate position of being able to afford this financially. It just does not feel right that I decided to “spend” these resorces (my time/​the salary I did not earn) on this “project” without crosschecking with experts (e.g. grantmakers) that my “project” meets the bar of being an effective use of these resources. (Tried to summarize this here as my first forum post https://​​forum.effectivealtruism.org/​​posts/​​4TiBZxD7NLsSTsHDn/​​career-investments-vs-giving-in-the-short-term)

• Péter Drótos 25 Aug 2023 21:23 UTC

  3 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Abby Babby’s comment on: What’s caus­ing men­tor­ship bot­tle­necks?

  I think the effect you describe makes sense, you can’t just grow a field arbitrarily fast.

  But I think it might be useful to talk more about wheter we still think that trying to get into one of these very competitive programmes is currently still the best use of the talented people who are happy to use their career to do the most good.

• Péter Drótos 25 Aug 2023 13:02 UTC

  1 point

  0 ∶ 0

  on: What do you do with your sav­ings?

  I was wondering about the same and was quite surprised why there is no EA investment option available or at least an official step-by-step guidance on non-EA investment.

  We are planning to buy a house in the not too distant future and have ~100.000€ savings.

  It’s currently in an investment option offered by the local government for local citizens which pay ~1% above inflation (guaranteed). But I heard that even ~3% is realistic. I’d be happy to earn that 3% and donate the difference as well.

  I’m thinking of looking into the topic myself but it would be way better if someone who’s already familiar gave some practical guidance.

[Question] How much might be the coun­ter­fac­tual im­pact of re­lo­ca­tion?

• Péter Drótos 10 Aug 2023 17:05 UTC

  1 point

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Abby Babby’s comment on: Ca­reer In­vest­ments vs Giv­ing in the short-term

  Thank you for taking a look and for the suggestions! Not saying I’ve tried super hard to talk these through with an advisor but my attempts did not get much attention so far.
  
  Completely agree that one should prioritize long-term impact. I’m just saying that in case of a temporary funding constraint, choosing not to donate may prevent other, at least equally promising candidates who are in need of funding from investing into their own careers.

Ca­reer In­vest­ments vs Giv­ing in the short-term

• Péter Drótos 13 Sep 2022 6:48 UTC

  1 point

  1 ∶ 0

  on: Ap­ply now—EAGxVir­tual (21-23 Oct)

  Great to have a virtual event as well! I may have missed but I can’t find which timezone is the event aligned with? Thanks!

• Péter Drótos 10 Jun 2022 18:50 UTC

  3 points

  0 ∶ 0

  in reply to: Yonatan Cale’s comment on: I’m Offer­ing Free Coach­ing for Soft­ware Devel­op­ers in the EA community

  It’s definitely the “how to find a better job” thing.

  Will book then, thanks!