tobyj

Karma: 312

tobyj 17 Sep 2018 12:36 UTC
3 points
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on: Giving What We Can is still growing at a surprisingly good pace
Are there any estimates of GWWC attrition other than this one?

Linear growth in new members with a fixed attrition rate would result in active members curving towards a plateau (~12,000 assuming ~600 new members and ~5% attrition annually).

tobyj 3 Apr 2021 11:45 UTC
6 points
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in reply to: Tom Barnes’s comment on: FAQ: UK Civil Service Job Applications
These 2 apps should help give a sense of where you can work on different causes in the Civil Service:
https://highimpact.shinyapps.io/impact_areas/
https://highimpact.shinyapps.io/civil_service_jobs_explorer/
That said, for non-civil servants—I would strongly suggest focussing the first role you get on skill development and understanding how government works, rather than trying to go straight into the most impactful area.
Civil servants are expected to move around a lot, so you can find the most impactul areas once you are in, and demonstrating good generalist skills is one the key things that will make moving around easy.

tobyj 3 Apr 2021 12:00 UTC
5 points
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on: FAQ: UK Civil Service Job Applications
This article is really useful- thanks for writing it Kirsten.
Couple of opinions I’d add:
If you don’t get on the fast stream, do apply for other jobs. The fast stream seems good, but I’m not convinced it’s much better than just getting a job in the Civil Service and just moving around independently.
Applying for jobs in the Civil Service is a specific skill that you can get better at. Apply for a bunch of jobs, get feedback, and try and improve your scores.

tobyj 4 Apr 2022 11:20 UTC
22 points
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on: Issues with centralised grantmaking
Hundreds of people spent considerable time writing applications to FTX Future fund’s first round of funding. It seems inefficient to me that there aren’t more sources of funding looking over these applications and funding the projects they think look the most promising.
This wouldn’t directly address your main concern, but I’d be really interested to see more full grant applications posted publicly (both successful and non-successful).

tobyj 6 Apr 2022 9:47 UTC
6 points
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on: 5-Minute Advice for EA Global
Thanks for this! I like the 1:1 ops advice in particular. I’m going to set so many alarms!
Possibly a counterpoint, but I’d recommend considering under-scheduling your 1:1s ahead of time. In my experience, I get a lot of good ideas of people to speak to during the event. Having time (especially on Sunday) to book those has been important. Under-scheduling also allows you to assess your energy levels on the weekend (Personally I’ve tended to over estimate my ability to have several intense back-to-back conversations).

tobyj 8 Apr 2022 11:55 UTC
1 point
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on: You are probably underestimating how good self-love can be
Thank you for this post Charlie. I’ve been consuming some of the resources since I first read it and have found them really valuable. I’m pretty convinced of the central idea that self -love and compassion can form the basis of large improvements in well-being.

tobyj 5 May 2022 10:48 UTC
5 points
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on: Why scale is overrated: The case for increasing EA policy efforts in smaller countries
This is such a great article! Thank you for writing it. Really interesting ideas.
Here’s a thing that came to mind when reading it.
You talk about policy diffusion seeming to be greater from high reputation countries. This seems quantifiable.
It seems both possible and powerful to build a map of the probability of policy diffusion from country A to country B for policy area X. (for all As, Bs and Xs). Simple example here (arrow size representing probability)
For example—this paper seems to have done something approximating this—see figure 1 in particular (although looks like it took a bunch of manual coding of parliamentary debate data).
The policy diffusion landscape has big implications for my own work (advising UK civil servants on where they can have impact in government), so really keen to talk to anyone working on this.

tobyj 9 Jun 2022 9:02 UTC
41 points
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on: Power dynamics between people in EA
Thank you for writing this Julia. I think it’s great that we have more shared views and discussion about power dynamics. I’ve recently started working on an EA project full time, and it was jarring to realise that at some of the social events I attend, >50% of the attendees are professional stakeholders (and some of the others will probably be future colleagues/stakeholders).
A couple of the points you made seem particularly important to me, so I thought it might be good to emphasize them and elaborate with some ideas:
Inside view vs outside view
Part of the reason power dynamics aren’t always obvious, is that it’s very easy to come up with self-serving narratives to explain our own feelings and behavior. And our society has egalitarian norms that push us to want to see things as more equal that they are. Here is an specific example of this from my partner, Hannah.
I suspect we should be very humble about our ability to clearly comprehend what is going on here. When so much of our social, romantic and professional lives are at stake all at once, there are huge returns to self-deception. This isn’t a problem that is unique to EA, but EA is ridiculously tightly coupled in places, so it might be particularly hard.
Taking an outside view is likely to be key to understanding and responding to the power dynamics of your relationships. This will include considering things like age, wealth, experience, self esteem, and seniority.
One of the most important area to take an objective/analytical/outside view of power in a relationship is to consider what your alternatives to a given relationship are, and how they compare to the other person’s alternatives (i.e. your respective BATNAs). Growing your BATNA might be a key way to ensure you are not disempowered—e.g.
- Make more friends and professional relationships outside EA so you can more easily decouple from the community
- Build financial runway so you can quit if needed
- Develop skills that are less specifically targeted at an EA career track
- Develop a more internally-sourced sense of self worth (see Charlie’s post on self-love)
Setting boundaries
The boundary setting things you lay out are great—here are some ideas for relevant boundaries that I have been trying to employ:
- Set clearer and harder boundaries than feels necessary—e.g. avoid dating any current or likely future colleagues, set much higher bars to date people who are more closely enmeshed in your social and professional circles.
- Try to be in touch with, and trust, your feelings more—if a situation or relationship feels bad, don’t think you need to come up with a narrative to explain it—you can act to set boundaries based on the badness of the feeling alone, and can aim for the minimum viable explanation when telling people why.
- Avoid putting too much trust in individuals who don’t seem self-aware about their own perverse incentives. Nobody will be able to see this perfectly, and self-deceptions will be happening. But if someone isn’t able to demonstrate the self awareness or trust to be able to reveal their own incentives, think about backing slowly away.
- For any relationship where there is a clear dependency (managers and reports, romantic partners, housemates) - insist on regular conversations about how the relationship is going and how it can be improved. In these conversations you should probably have the expectation that you are both minimizing conflict, and a shared goal of uncovering and resolving those conflicts. (resistance to these conversations is the reddest of red flags in my experience...)
The tone of this post is wary, but largely positive. I think it’s important to highlight that the areas where power dynamics go most unaddressed are where you will find real mistreatment, abuse, and bullying.
I would love EA (and people in general) to be having more open conversations about this. Although we should also be humble. Illegible, unaddressed and painful power dynamics are the norm of human groups, not the exception.

tobyj 23 Jun 2022 7:32 UTC
4 points
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on: Seven ways to become unstoppably agentic
This is great—really inspiring, makes me want to do more of all of those things! Thank you for writing this! I’m going to create a rejection list right now.
One thing I thought in reaction to this is that a reason we might hesitate to be more agentic is being uncomfortable setting boundaries.
When you put-yourself-out-there a lot, you will also start being asked for things more. Or you might put yourself in a situation that feels bad for some other reason. Being comfortable rejecting requests or removing yourself from a situation seems like a really important related thing to work on.

tobyj 31 Aug 2022 16:00 UTC
1 point
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in reply to: Nathan Young’s comment on: ARIA is looking for topics for roundtables
Interested in hear what you would write on this

tobyj 13 Sep 2022 8:11 UTC
6 points
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on: Effective altruism in the garden of ends
Thank you for writing this Tyler! I really enjoyed it.
I have had a similar journey recently. I’ve also heard a bunch of other examples from people in this community with similar stories.
There is an interesting tension I find when communicating about this:
If someone’s motivational framework is fundamentally shackled to a dominant, altruistic part, then the benefits of losing the shackles need to put in terms that that part will value. But to really succeed at this you need to genuinely abandon the idea that the values of that part of you are above your other values.
For example I’ve found myself saying things like “now that I have this perspective, I feel better, and more intrinsically motivated, but am not being any less altruistic, I may even be more altruistic across my life”.
You touch on this here:
This doesn’t imply discarding the useful outcomes of activities. In fact, I find that when I engage something for its own sake, I’m far more likely to produce virtuosic work. At a meeting of the rationality community, Anna Salamon once argued that to use truth-seeking as solely a means to fight existential risk (x-risk) would compromise the activity of truth-seeking – for instance, by cutting corners while rushing for an answer. So she proposed an alternative: “Rationality for rationality’s sake…for x-risk’s sake.”
This has the flavour of a trick to me. In order to be free to follow other ends intrinsically, you need to be vulnerable to the prospect of actually being less altruistic, of actually ending up doing less good. Maybe this is a necessary trick? Is there is a way of negotiating with the dominant part that allows it to let go in full knowledge of its vulnerability?
(an approach that has seemed to be working for me here has been comfort zone expansion with respect the feeling of being a bad person.)

tobyj 6 Oct 2022 9:06 UTC
2 points
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on: Strange Love—Developing Empathy With Intention (or: How I Learned To Stop Calculating And Love The Cause)
This is great—thanks for writing this.
My addition to this would be that you can increase your empathy for the suffering of others by connecting with your own suffering. Experiences of pain and fear in my own life, definitely make it easier to connect with those feelings in others.
(And as well as helping empathy, connecting with the motivational usefulness of negative experiences can make the experiences themselves feel a little more meaningful (so a little less bad).)

tobyj 28 Oct 2022 11:09 UTC
4 points
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on: tobyj’s Shortform
I am really into writing at the moment and I’m keen to co-author forum posts with people who have similar interests.
I wrote a few brief summaries of things I’m interested in writing about (but very open to other ideas).
Also very open to:
- co-authoring posts where we disagree on an issue and try to create a steely version of the two sides!
- being told that the thing I want to write has already been written by someone else
Things I would love to find a collaborator to co-write:
- Comparing the Civil Service bureaucracy to the EA nebuleaucracy.
  - I recently took a break from the Civil Service and to work on an EA project full time. It’s much better, less bureaucratic and less hierarchical. There are still plenty of complex hierarchical structures in EA though. Some of these are explicit (e.g. the management chain of an EA org or funder/fundee relationships), but most aren’t as clear. I think the current illegibility of EA power structures is likely fairly harmful and want more consideration of solutions (that increase legibility).
  - Semi-related thing I’ve already written: 11 mental models of bureaucracies
- What is the relationship between moral realism, obligation-mindset, and guilt/shame/burnout?
  - Despite no longer buying moral realism philosophically, I deeply feel like there is an objective right and wrong. I used to buy moral realism and used this feeling of moral judgement to motivate myself a lot. I had a very bad time.
  - People who reject moral realism philosophically (including me) still seem to be motivated by other, often more wholesome moral feelings, including towards EA-informed goals.
  - Related thing I’ve already written: How I’m trying to be a less “good” person.
- Prioritisation panic + map territory terror
  - These seem like the main EA-neuroses—the fears that drive many of us.
  - I constantly feel like I’m sifting for gold in a stream, while there might be gold mines all around me. If I could just think a little harder, or learn faster, I could find them…
  - The distribution in value of different possible options is huge, and prioritisation seems to work. But you have to start doing things at some point. The fear that I’m working on the wrong thing is painful and constant and the reason I am here…
  - As with prioritisation, the fear that your beliefs are wrong is everywhere and is pretty all-consuming. False beliefs are deeply dangerous personally and catastrophic for helping others. I feel I really need to be obsessed with this.
  - I want to explore more feeling-focussed solutions to these fears.
- When is it better to risk being too naive, or too cynical
  - Is the world super dog-eat-dog or are people mostly good? I’ve seen people all over the cynicism spectrum in EA. Going too far either way has its costs, but altruists might want to risk being too naive (and paying a personal cost) rather than too cynical (which had greater external cost).
  - To put this another way. If you are unsure how harsh the world is, lean toward acting like you’re living in a less harsh world—there is more value for EA to take there. (I could do with doing some explicit modelling on this one)
  - This is kinda the opposite of the precautionary principle that drives x-risk work—so is clearly very context specific.
  - Related thing I’ve already written: How honest should you be about your cynicism?

tobyj 16 Nov 2022 8:37 UTC
12 points
2 ∶ 1
on: The FTX crisis highlights a deeper cultural problem within EA—we don’t sufficiently value good governance
Thank you for this post! One thing I wanted point out was that, this post talks about governance failures by individual organizations. But EA orgs are unusually tightly coupled, so I suspect a lot more work needs to be done on governance at the ecosystem level.
I most recently worked for a government department. This single organsiation was bigger, more complex, and less internally value-aligned than the ecosystem of EA orgs. EA has fuzzier boundaries, but for the most part, functions more cohesively than a single large organisation.
I haven’t thought a tonne about how to do this in practice, but I read this report on “Constellation Collaboration” recently and found it compelling. I suspect there is a bunch more thinking that could be done at the ecosystem level.
What links here?
- AnonymousEAForumAccount's comment on The FTX crisis highlights a deeper cultural problem within EA—we don’t sufficiently value good governance by Fods12 (17 Nov 2022 0:29 UTC; 67 points)

Doing good as a monkey

tobyj18 Dec 2022 18:15 UTC

13 points

1 comment2 min readEA link

tobyj 21 Dec 2022 9:43 UTC
6 points
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on: CEA Disambiguation
Thanks Jeff—this is helpful!
I don’t know who would be best placed to do this, but I can imagine it would be really helpful to have more expansive versions of these diagrams. Especially ones that make the specific nature of the relationships between orgs clear (i.e. going beyond fiscal sponsorship) . A lot of the comments/discussion on this post seem to be about speculation about the specific nature of these relationships.

Here is what I imagined:
I suspect doing something like this would end up being pretty subjective, it would change over time, and there will be disagreement between people involved. e.g. things like “strength of strategic oversight” are going to be pretty ambiguous. But the value in attempts at creating some common knowledge here seems high given the current level of confusion.

(and alongside increasing trustworthiness, this kind of transparency would also be valuable for people setting up new orgs in the ecosystem. Currently, if you want to figure out how your org can/should fit in you have to try and build a picture like the above yourself)

tobyj 23 Dec 2022 14:57 UTC
13 points
5 ∶ 1
on: Keep EA high-trust
Thank Michael, I connect with the hope of this post a lot and EA still feels unusually high-trust to me.
But I suspect that a lot of my trust comes via personal interactions in some form. And it’s unclear to me how much of the high level of trust in the EA community in general is due to private connections vs. public signs of trustworthiness.
If it’s mostly the former, then I’d be more concerned. Friendship-based trust isn’t particularly scalable, and reliance on it seems likely to maintain diversity issues. The EA community will need to increasingly pay bureaucratic costs to keep trust high as it grows further.
I’d be interested in any attempts at quantifying the costs to orgs of different governance interventions and their impact on trust/trustworthiness.

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[deleted]

tobyj 23 Jan 2023 11:47 UTC
17 points
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on: tobyj’s Shortform

tobyj 24 Jan 2023 10:05 UTC
1 point
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on: “Status” can be corrosive; here’s how I handle it
Thanks for this Akash. I like this post and like these examples.
One thing I find has been helpful for me here is to stop talking and thinking about “status” so much and focus more on acknowledging my own emotional experience. e.g. the bullets at the start of this post for example are all example of someone feeling shame.
Shame can be a useful signal about how it would be best for you to act in any given situation, but often isn’t particularly accurate in its predictions. Focusing on concepts like “status” instead of the emotions that are informing the concept has, at times, pushed me towards seeing status as way more real than it actually is.
This isn’t to say that status is not a useful model in general. I’m just skeptical its anywhere near as useful for understanding your own experience as it is to analyzing the behavior of groups more objectively.

tobyj

Do­ing good as a monkey

Doing good as a monkey