Elon Musk should announce he is giving all his money to EA causes.
EA should fund SBFs appeal process
Will Mac Askill should launch a new cryptocurrency “AskCoin”, where rich people buy large amounts of the cryptocurrency for the poorest people on earth, driving up the value.
9. EA should publicly support Israel’s war effort 10. Buy a large coal mine and employ the world’s poorest people 11. Only fund community builders who say they are longtermist 12. Publish the secret deal with Huel as EA’s main sponsor
Donating to SBF’s appeal process may be the highest impact charity we have ever seen.
In randomized controlled trials from 2022, SBF had donated over 130 million dollars in less than a year, and a successful appeal would counterfactually create this benefit for 25 years. An expensive criminal trial in the US can cost as much as $15,000. Even if $15k increases the odds of winning the appeal by 0.1%, that is still an expected 217x amplification of every dollar donated.
The money amplified goes in to effective charities like GiveWell, so if we use GiveWell’s one life saved per $4,500 measure, donating to SBF’s appeal fund would save a life for every 20 dollars.
This is just a back of the napkin calculation, so my numbers might be off a little, but this seems to be the most effective charity by *many* orders of magnitude.
Does anyone know where he has been funding all his defense expenses from, and how much firepower is left there? If you’d merely be funging with his own assets, the Bank of Mom & Dad, or a D&O insurance policy, the giving would be rather ineffective.
He has to have been paying the bills, else it is unlikely new sentencing stage counsel would have signed up.
If trial counsel were somewhat competent, they already know what their best chances on appeal would be. Appeals are done on the record generated below, so the marginal returns to extra $ are likely minimal beyond a certain point.
Manifest should blow up in some unexpected way.
Elon Musk should announce he is giving all his money to EA causes.
EA should fund SBFs appeal process
Will Mac Askill should launch a new cryptocurrency “AskCoin”, where rich people buy large amounts of the cryptocurrency for the poorest people on earth, driving up the value.
Love it
9. EA should publicly support Israel’s war effort
10. Buy a large coal mine and employ the world’s poorest people
11. Only fund community builders who say they are longtermist
12. Publish the secret deal with Huel as EA’s main sponsor
Meal replacement companies were there for us, through thick and slightly less thick.
https://queal.com/ea
(btw, I find it funny that I cringe internally more about posting 11 than about 9)
I don’t see how 12 would sink us lol, but the other 3 for sure.
They probably have a large influence on prioritization. I’d check into ALLFED
Donating to SBF’s appeal process may be the highest impact charity we have ever seen.
In randomized controlled trials from 2022, SBF had donated over 130 million dollars in less than a year, and a successful appeal would counterfactually create this benefit for 25 years. An expensive criminal trial in the US can cost as much as $15,000. Even if $15k increases the odds of winning the appeal by 0.1%, that is still an expected 217x amplification of every dollar donated.
The money amplified goes in to effective charities like GiveWell, so if we use GiveWell’s one life saved per $4,500 measure, donating to SBF’s appeal fund would save a life for every 20 dollars.
This is just a back of the napkin calculation, so my numbers might be off a little, but this seems to be the most effective charity by *many* orders of magnitude.
Does anyone know where he has been funding all his defense expenses from, and how much firepower is left there? If you’d merely be funging with his own assets, the Bank of Mom & Dad, or a D&O insurance policy, the giving would be rather ineffective.
He has to have been paying the bills, else it is unlikely new sentencing stage counsel would have signed up.
If trial counsel were somewhat competent, they already know what their best chances on appeal would be. Appeals are done on the record generated below, so the marginal returns to extra $ are likely minimal beyond a certain point.
Elon Musk? So last year… 2024 is time for Trump scandals.
Let’s buy some Truth shares and produce new scandals!