Solidly great practical questions here, I think Iāll incorporate some of them into things I run. In particular I agree with you that EtG is extremely underprioritised. It is both the genuinely most impactful life path for most people, and also comes with a huge degree of personal flexibility and benefits.
I think I agreed with this until literally a few months ago, given the likelihood of Anthropic employees donating large amounts to EA causes. It doesnāt make EtG a waste of time, but seems to greatly shift the scales.
I donāt think it has shifted the scales yet, uncertainty remains huge on the Anthropic question. Not only on the amount, but Iām sure there will be many impactful cause areas which wonāt benefit that will still need more money.
And even if 10 billion (or whatever) does end up coming in, It might change the ETG math less than weād expect? Would be interested to see someone do some play-math with the numbers....
If thereās SOME chance that any significant money gets directed to mainstream EA orgs for unrestricted use, then surely that shifts the scales somewhat? Thereās also the fact that, as others on the forum have pointed out, thereās now a greater need to work on making orgs able to absorb additional funds, making the ādirect impactā career pathway more promising/āurgent.
But I agree Iād like to see the maths, Iāve got no idea what chances of what amount of money weāre talking about here.
Solidly great practical questions here, I think Iāll incorporate some of them into things I run. In particular I agree with you that EtG is extremely underprioritised. It is both the genuinely most impactful life path for most people, and also comes with a huge degree of personal flexibility and benefits.
I think I agreed with this until literally a few months ago, given the likelihood of Anthropic employees donating large amounts to EA causes. It doesnāt make EtG a waste of time, but seems to greatly shift the scales.
I donāt think it has shifted the scales yet, uncertainty remains huge on the Anthropic question. Not only on the amount, but Iām sure there will be many impactful cause areas which wonāt benefit that will still need more money.
And even if 10 billion (or whatever) does end up coming in, It might change the ETG math less than weād expect? Would be interested to see someone do some play-math with the numbers....
If thereās SOME chance that any significant money gets directed to mainstream EA orgs for unrestricted use, then surely that shifts the scales somewhat? Thereās also the fact that, as others on the forum have pointed out, thereās now a greater need to work on making orgs able to absorb additional funds, making the ādirect impactā career pathway more promising/āurgent.
But I agree Iād like to see the maths, Iāve got no idea what chances of what amount of money weāre talking about here.