Excluding the fact that EAs tend to be more tech-savvy and their advantage lies in technical work such as alignment, the community as a whole is not prioritizing advocacy and governance enough.
Effective Altruists over-prioritize working on AI alignment over AI regulation advocacy. I disagree with prioritizing alignment because much of alignment research is simultaneously capabilities research (Connor Leahy even begged people to stop publishing interpretability research). Consequently, alignment research is accelerating the timelines toward AGI. Another problem with alignment research is that cutting-edge models are only available at frontier AI labs, meaning there is comparatively less that someone on the outside can help with. Finally, even if an independent alignment researcher finds a safeguard to a particular AGI risk, the target audience AI lab might not implement it since it would cost time and effort. This is due to the “race to the bottom,” a governance problem.
Even excluding X-risk, I can imagine a plethora of reasons why a US corporation or the USA itself is by far one of the worst paths to AGI. Corporations are profit-seeking and are less concerned with the human-centric integrations of technology necessitated by AGI. Having one country with the ultimate job-replacer also seems like a bad idea. All economies all over the world are subject to whatever the next GPT model can do, potentially replacing half their workforce. Instead, I am led to believe that the far superior best-case scenario is an international body that globally makes decisions or at least has control over AGI development in each country. Therefore, I believe EA should prioritize lengthening the time horizon by advocating for a pause, a slowdown, or any sort of international treaty. This would help to prevent the extremely dangerous race dynamics that we are currently in.
How you can help:
I recommend PauseAI. They are great community of people (including many EAs) trying to advocate for an international moratorium on frontier general capability AI models. There is so much you can do to help, including putting up posters, writing letters, writing about the issue, etc. They are very friendly and will answer any questions about how you can fit in and maximize your power as a democratic citizen.
Even if you disagree with pausing as the solution to the governance problem, I believe that the direction of PauseAI is correct. On a governance political compass, I feel like pausing is 10 miles away from the current political talk but most EAs generally lie 9.5 miles in the same direction.
Safety-concerned EAs should prioritize AI governance over alignment
Excluding the fact that EAs tend to be more tech-savvy and their advantage lies in technical work such as alignment, the community as a whole is not prioritizing advocacy and governance enough.
Effective Altruists over-prioritize working on AI alignment over AI regulation advocacy. I disagree with prioritizing alignment because much of alignment research is simultaneously capabilities research (Connor Leahy even begged people to stop publishing interpretability research). Consequently, alignment research is accelerating the timelines toward AGI. Another problem with alignment research is that cutting-edge models are only available at frontier AI labs, meaning there is comparatively less that someone on the outside can help with. Finally, even if an independent alignment researcher finds a safeguard to a particular AGI risk, the target audience AI lab might not implement it since it would cost time and effort. This is due to the “race to the bottom,” a governance problem.
Even excluding X-risk, I can imagine a plethora of reasons why a US corporation or the USA itself is by far one of the worst paths to AGI. Corporations are profit-seeking and are less concerned with the human-centric integrations of technology necessitated by AGI. Having one country with the ultimate job-replacer also seems like a bad idea. All economies all over the world are subject to whatever the next GPT model can do, potentially replacing half their workforce. Instead, I am led to believe that the far superior best-case scenario is an international body that globally makes decisions or at least has control over AGI development in each country. Therefore, I believe EA should prioritize lengthening the time horizon by advocating for a pause, a slowdown, or any sort of international treaty. This would help to prevent the extremely dangerous race dynamics that we are currently in.
How you can help:
I recommend PauseAI. They are great community of people (including many EAs) trying to advocate for an international moratorium on frontier general capability AI models. There is so much you can do to help, including putting up posters, writing letters, writing about the issue, etc. They are very friendly and will answer any questions about how you can fit in and maximize your power as a democratic citizen.
Even if you disagree with pausing as the solution to the governance problem, I believe that the direction of PauseAI is correct. On a governance political compass, I feel like pausing is 10 miles away from the current political talk but most EAs generally lie 9.5 miles in the same direction.