Posts from 2022 you thought were valuable (or underrated)

[Lizka]

Forum Wrapped showed you what you upvoted and strong-upvoted in 2022. We also gave you the chance to mark some posts as “most valuable.”

I’m sharing which posts were marked as “most valuable” by most people, and which posts were most underrated by their karma score (relative to the number of “most valuable” votes).

Please note that this is a very rough list; relatively few people marked posts as “most valuable,” and I imagine that those who did, didn’t do it very carefully or comprehensively. And there are various biases in the data (like the fact that we showed the list in order of karma).

Before you continue, consider looking back (if you haven’t done that yet).

You can look at your Forum Wrapped, consider scrolling through high-rated (adjusted) posts from 2022, or explore posts on your favorite topics.

(You can still mark posts as “most valuable” — we might revisit these numbers later, and you might find it useful to have a record of this for yourself.)

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If you want to explore more content, you could look at What are the most underrated posts & comments of 2022, according to you? (thread), my comment on the Forum Wrapped announcement, curated posts from 2022, and older content like the Results from the First Decade Review and the Forum Digest Classics.

Which posts from 2022 did Forum users think were most valuable?

(Note that we ordered posts in “wrapped” by karma score, meaning higher-karma posts might be artificially over-rated.)

Votes	Author(s)	Title
18	ASB, eca	Concrete Biosecurity Projects (some of which could be big)
18	Julia Wise	Power dynamics between people in EA
16	Theo Hawking	Bad Omens in Current Community Building
13	Scott Alexander	”Long-Termism” vs. “Existential Risk”
12	George Rosenfeld	Free-spending EA might be a big problem for optics and epistemics
11	Haydn Belfield	Are you really in a race? The Cautionary Tales of Szilárd and Ellsberg
10	Holden Karnofsky	EA is about maximization, and maximization is perilous
9	Simon M	StrongMinds should not be a top-rated charity (yet)
9	Fods12	The FTX crisis highlights a deeper cultural problem within EA—we don’t sufficiently value good governance
9	MathiasKB	Snakebites kill 100,000 people every year, here’s what you should know
8	William MacAskill	EA and the current funding situation
8	Linch	Some unfun lessons I learned as a junior grantmaker
8	Will Bradshaw, Mike McLaren, Anjali Gopal	Announcing the Nucleic Acid Observatory project for early detection of catastrophic biothreats
8	Thomas Kwa	Effectiveness is a Conjunction of Multipliers
8	Karolina Sarek, Joey	Presenting: 2022 Incubated Charities (Charity Entrepreneurship)
8	Nuño Sempere	A Critical Review of Open Philanthropy’s Bet On Criminal Justice Reform
8	Holden Karnofsky	My takes on the FTX situation will (mostly) be cold, not hot
8	Peter McLaughlin	Getting on a different train: can Effective Altruism avoid collapsing into absurdity?
7	Katja Grace	Let’s think about slowing down AI
7	Holden Karnofsky	Important, actionable research questions for the most important century
7	Holden Karnofsky	Some comments on recent FTX-related events
7	Maya D	I’m a 22-year-old woman involved in Effective Altruism. I’m sad, disappointed, and scared.
7	Ajeya	Without specific countermeasures, the easiest path to transformative AI likely leads to AI takeover

Which were most underrated by Forum karma?

A quick note on the methodology is in the footnote.^[1]

Votes	Author	Title
3	Corentin Biteau	The great energy descent (short version) - An important thing EA might have missed
4	James Ozden	What you prioritise is mostly moral intuition
2	Fabio Kuhn, Giving What We Can, Sarah Baka	The 2022 Giving What We Can Donor Lottery is now open
2	Jamie Harris	The History of AI Rights Research
3	Max Dalton, Angelina Li, Oscar Howie	CEA’s work in 2022
2	Elizabeth	Epistemic Legibility
3	Gavin	Milan Griffes on EA blindspots
4	Holden Karnofsky	Ideal governance (for companies, countries and more)
4	Holden Karnofsky	AI Safety Seems Hard to Measure
3	Lynette Bye	Have You Ever Doubted Whether You’re Good Enough To Pursue Your Career?
2	Pablo, matthew.vandermerwe	Future Matters #6: FTX collapse, value lock-in, and counterarguments to AI x-risk
2	Holden Karnofsky	AI strategy nearcasting
2	Elizabeth	Butterfly Ideas
2	Hamish Hobbs, jbs, Allan Dafoe	Differential technology development: preprint on the concept
2	Derek Shiller	The importance of getting digital consciousness right
4	Holden Karnofsky	Nonprofit Boards are Weird
3	Tom Barnes	Air Pollution: Founders Pledge Cause Report
2	Vaidehi Agarwalla, Alexandra Malikova, Elika	Doing Ops in EA FAQ: before you join (2022)
2	Holden Karnofsky	Racing through a minefield: the AI deployment problem
4	ColdButtonIssues	Go Republican, Young EA!
4	levin	Common-sense cases where “hypothetical future people” matter
2	Janne M. Korhonen	Sheltering humanity against x-risk: report from the SHELTER weekend

Thanks so much...

...for posting, commenting, upvoting, marking as “most valuable,” giving us feedback, and more! I really appreciate it.

1. ^

   I looked at the number of people who had marked something as “most valuable,” and then divided by [karma score]^1.5. All of these were marked as most valuable by at least two people.

   Just dividing by karma didn’t change the list much, and dividing by karma^2 penalized karma too much. I played with a few other ways of modifying the “underrated-ness” metric, but they didn’t seem better.

[MathiasKB🔸]

get absolutely dunked on, Will!

In all seriousness, thank you to the many people who contributed with posts and comments in 2022 and a thank you to the forum team for the hard work you put in. Whatever our community’s flaws (and there are many!), there are few other places online with a similar breadth of topics discussed in as much depth.

Barring the meta-posts, time spent procrastinating on the EA forum in 2022 was for me time well spent.

[Nathan Young]

Is there any thought as to ways to change the karma system so that posts which were underrated get what they deserve immediately?

[Wil Perkins]

We could take away the bizarre mechanic where people with more karma have votes that are more strongly weighted.

[Nathan Young]

I reckon that one leads to better rather than worse results.

[Felix Wolf 🔸]

How would you implement such a system? How could the system know if something is worth their karma points and something else is underrated?

[Yellow (Daryl)]

see the post footnote:

”I looked at the number of people who had marked something as “most valuable,” and then divided by [karma score]^1.5. All of these were marked as most valuable by at least two people.

Just dividing by karma didn’t change the list much, and dividing by karma^2 penalized karma too much. I played with a few other ways of modifying the “underrated-ness” metric, but they didn’t seem better.”