Related: Suppose that, in 10 years, the RSP seems to have had no impact.* What signs would reveal this? And what seem the most likely explanations for the lack of impact?
*There already seem to be some indicators of impact, so feel free to interpret this as “seems to have had no impact after 2020”, or as “seems to have had no impact after 2020, plus the apparent impacts by 2020 all ended up washing out over time”.
Something like: it seems like the people we’re taking on the programme are doing kind of good things, but when we dig into counterfactual analysis it seems like they might on average have done more if they hadn’t joined the programme (perhaps because e.g. normal academic pressures are surprisingly helpful motivationally, or because we’re fostering a community which is too inward-looking).
Interesting question!
Related: Suppose that, in 10 years, the RSP seems to have had no impact.* What signs would reveal this? And what seem the most likely explanations for the lack of impact?
*There already seem to be some indicators of impact, so feel free to interpret this as “seems to have had no impact after 2020”, or as “seems to have had no impact after 2020, plus the apparent impacts by 2020 all ended up washing out over time”.
Something like: it seems like the people we’re taking on the programme are doing kind of good things, but when we dig into counterfactual analysis it seems like they might on average have done more if they hadn’t joined the programme (perhaps because e.g. normal academic pressures are surprisingly helpful motivationally, or because we’re fostering a community which is too inward-looking).