GJ results (as opposed Good Judgment Open) aren’t public, but Open Phil has an account with them. This is from a batch of nuclear war probability questions I suggested that Open Phil commission to help assess nuclear risk interventions.
Hi Carl, is there any progress on this end in the past year? I’d be very interested to see x-risk relevant forecasts (currently working on a related project).
GJ results (as opposed Good Judgment Open) aren’t public, but Open Phil has an account with them. This is from a batch of nuclear war probability questions I suggested that Open Phil commission to help assess nuclear risk interventions.
This is really cool, Carl. Thanks for sharing. Do superforecasters ever make judgments about other x-risks?
Not by default, but I hope to get more useful forecasts that are EA action-relevant in the future performed and published.
Hi Carl, is there any progress on this end in the past year? I’d be very interested to see x-risk relevant forecasts (currently working on a related project).