My (naive) understanding is that the risk of a recession today is not much lower than in 2007-08.So the answer to whether EAs would be working on this back then rounds down to whether EAs are looking into macroeconomic risk today.And the answer to that is mixed: there is actually a tag in the Forum for this very problem, which includes a reference to OpenPhil’s program on macroeconomic policy stabilization. But there are no articles under that tag, and I haven’t heard much discussion on the topic outside of OpenPhil.
Thanks for linking to that OpenPhil page! It is really interesting. In fact, one of the pages that page links to talks about ABMs that rory_greig mentioned in his comment.
Note: that tag is currently a wiki-only tag/wiki page, but could be turned into a proper tag if desired.
My (naive) understanding is that the risk of a recession today is not much lower than in 2007-08.
So the answer to whether EAs would be working on this back then rounds down to whether EAs are looking into macroeconomic risk today.
And the answer to that is mixed: there is actually a tag in the Forum for this very problem, which includes a reference to OpenPhil’s program on macroeconomic policy stabilization.
But there are no articles under that tag, and I haven’t heard much discussion on the topic outside of OpenPhil.
Thanks for linking to that OpenPhil page! It is really interesting. In fact, one of the pages that page links to talks about ABMs that rory_greig mentioned in his comment.
Note: that tag is currently a wiki-only tag/wiki page, but could be turned into a proper tag if desired.