My (naive) understanding is that the risk of a recession today is not much lower than in 2007-08.So the answer to whether EAs would be working on this back then rounds down to whether EAs are looking into macroeconomic risk today.And the answer to that is mixed: there is actually a tag in the Forum for this very problem, which includes a reference to OpenPhil’s program on macroeconomic policy stabilization. But there are no articles under that tag, and I haven’t heard much discussion on the topic outside of OpenPhil.
Note: that tag is currently a wiki-only tag/wiki page, but could be turned into a proper tag if desired.
Thanks for linking to that OpenPhil page! It is really interesting. In fact, one of the pages that page links to talks about ABMs that rory_greig mentioned in his comment.
My (naive) understanding is that the risk of a recession today is not much lower than in 2007-08.
So the answer to whether EAs would be working on this back then rounds down to whether EAs are looking into macroeconomic risk today.
And the answer to that is mixed: there is actually a tag in the Forum for this very problem, which includes a reference to OpenPhil’s program on macroeconomic policy stabilization.
But there are no articles under that tag, and I haven’t heard much discussion on the topic outside of OpenPhil.
Note: that tag is currently a wiki-only tag/wiki page, but could be turned into a proper tag if desired.
Thanks for linking to that OpenPhil page! It is really interesting. In fact, one of the pages that page links to talks about ABMs that rory_greig mentioned in his comment.