Many EAs are interested in prediction markets.
I wanted to flag up the existence of https://smarkets.com/
This is a UK-focussed betting exchange, a bit like Betfair.
It carries quite a range of different markets, many of which are related to politics/current affairs: https://smarkets.com/politics
I get the sense that some of the markets on there are kind of similar to what prediction-market-minded EAs are interested in?
They are quite responsive—you can tweet at them with suggestions for new markets to be added, and sometimes they will add them.
I just wanted to flag this up, for information, as I get the sense that some people who are ‘into’ prediction markets, may not know about this.
Current theme: default
Less Wrong (text)
Less Wrong (link)
Arrow keys: Next/previous image
Escape or click: Hide zoomed image
Space bar: Reset image size & position
Scroll to zoom in/out
(When zoomed in, drag to pan; double-click to close)
Keys shown in yellow (e.g., ]) are accesskeys, and require a browser-specific modifier key (or keys).
]
Keys shown in grey (e.g., ?) do not require any modifier keys.
?
Esc
h
f
a
m
v
c
r
q
t
u
o
,
.
/
s
n
e
;
Enter
[
\
k
i
l
=
-
0
′
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
→
↓
←
↑
Space
x
z
`
g
Flagging up a ‘prediction market’
Many EAs are interested in prediction markets.
I wanted to flag up the existence of https://smarkets.com/
This is a UK-focussed betting exchange, a bit like Betfair.
It carries quite a range of different markets, many of which are related to politics/current affairs: https://smarkets.com/politics
I get the sense that some of the markets on there are kind of similar to what prediction-market-minded EAs are interested in?
They are quite responsive—you can tweet at them with suggestions for new markets to be added, and sometimes they will add them.
I just wanted to flag this up, for information, as I get the sense that some people who are ‘into’ prediction markets, may not know about this.