Scott Alexander’s annual tradition of predicting the upcoming year has evolved into a full forecasting contest. For 2024, he invited Metaculus to host the competition. Kick off the new year forecasting on questions like:
Metaculus will take a snapshot of forecasters’ predictions as of January 21st, 11:59 PM PT, and these will determine the contest winners and the recipients of $2.5k in prizes.
Metaculus Hosts ACX 2024 Prediction Contest
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The ACX 2024 Prediction Contest is open!
Scott Alexander’s annual tradition of predicting the upcoming year has evolved into a full forecasting contest. For 2024, he invited Metaculus to host the competition. Kick off the new year forecasting on questions like:
Will an AI win a coding contest on Codeforces in 2024?
Which party will win the 2024 US presidential election?
Will Ali Khamenei cease to be supreme leader of Iran in 2024?
Will SpaceX’s Starship reach orbit in 2024?
Metaculus will take a snapshot of forecasters’ predictions as of January 21st, 11:59 PM PT, and these will determine the contest winners and the recipients of $2.5k in prizes.
Learn more and start forecasting here!