[Question] What question would you want a prediction market about?

“Hunger wor­ld­wide will be be­low 5% in what year?”

“Next year will be in the top 10 hottest years on record”

“AI will write an os­car-win­ning screen­play in what year”

Check out this pre­dic­tion mar­ket plat­form ( https://​​smar­kets.com/​​event/​​886734/​​poli­tics/​​us/​​us-pres­i­den­tial-elec­tion-2020/​​demo­cratic-nom­i­nee-2020 ). Would it be use­ful to you to have mar­kets on cer­tain ques­tions (cli­mate change, child liter­acy, next pa­per to fail repli­ca­tion etc)? Per­haps you have dis­cus­sions which could be solved by be­ing able to show that the mar­ket is in favour of a cer­tain po­si­tion? Maybe it could be use­ful mar­ket­ing ma­te­rial.

So if you could cre­ate a pre­dic­tion mar­ket for any testable ques­tion, what would it be? Do you think this might be par­tic­u­larly valuable to you?

No answers.