This raises the concern of whether 80,000 Hours should still recommend people to join OpenAI.
defun
Karma: 168
Superb post! 👏👏👏
Have you considered applying to YC?
A bit about me in case someone wants to connect 👋👋
I’m a SWE with 5 yoe working in early-stage startups. I’m quite ambitious about EA and I’m currently applying to Charity Entrepreneurship.
Some things I like: sports, concerts, startups, Twitter, Dwarkesh (huge fan), Derek Guy, walkable and cyclable cities, pedestrian streets, lentil dahl.
will be finding these people
Finding them should be easy, no? Just checking the employees of interesting orgs on LinkedIn.
Maybe convincing them will be harder.
I exchanged some messages and had a call with Yonatan some time ago, and I highly recommend it.
He truly changed my mind on the importance of personal fit, which I had been underestimating prior to our conversation.
I often ask myself, “What would Yonatan think about this?”
1. How much progress has been made relative to expectations and how does this affect which timelines are most likely?
Since the launch of GPT-4, the next relevant data point will be GPT-5. All the rest is ~noise.
From yesterday’s announcement, the most interesting thing is that they are making their newest model free (many people will cancel their paid subscriptions). This seems to indicate that they will launch GPT-5 soon, which will be available only for the paid tier.
I agree that this testimonial adds credibility to Epoch, but it raises concerns about whether their work has negative impacts.
I think it looks great! 👏👏
The only thing I’m uneasy about is the testimonial of an investor who’s accelerating AI capabilities.
Do you have an exit strategy? If you don’t, how did you convince VCs?
Yes, and the longer until this release the more we should update towards longer timelines
The prediction on Metaculus has barely moved for a year.
The meat-eater problem is under-discussed.
I’ve spent more than 500 hours consuming EA content and I had never encountered the meat-eater problem until today.
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/topics/meat-eater-problem
(I had sometimes thought about the problem, but I didn’t even know it had a name)