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elifland

Karma: 2,788

You can give me anonymous feedback here. I often change my mind and don’t necessarily endorse past writings.

Long-Term Fu­ture Fund: May 2023 to March 2024 Pay­out recommendations

LinchJun 12, 2024, 1:46 PM
76 points
8 comments13 min readEA link

Pod­cast: Is Fore­cast­ing a Promis­ing EA Cause Area?

Ozzie GooenMar 25, 2024, 8:36 PM
29 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Eli Lifland on Nav­i­gat­ing the AI Align­ment Landscape

Ozzie GooenFeb 1, 2023, 12:07 AM
48 points
9 comments31 min readEA link
(quri.substack.com)

Dis­cussing how to al­ign Trans­for­ma­tive AI if it’s de­vel­oped very soon

eliflandNov 28, 2022, 4:17 PM
36 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Eli’s re­view of “Is power-seek­ing AI an ex­is­ten­tial risk?”

eliflandSep 30, 2022, 12:21 PM
58 points
3 comments1 min readEA link

Quan­tified In­tu­itions: An epistemics train­ing web­site in­clud­ing a new EA-themed cal­ibra­tion app

SageSep 20, 2022, 10:25 PM
86 points
8 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Fore­cast­ing thread: How does AI risk level vary based on timelines?

eliflandSep 14, 2022, 11:56 PM
47 points
8 comments1 min readEA link

Samotsvety’s AI risk forecasts

eliflandSep 9, 2022, 4:01 AM
175 points
30 comments4 min readEA link

My take on What We Owe the Future

eliflandSep 1, 2022, 6:07 PM
354 points
51 comments26 min readEA link

Pri­ori­tiz­ing x-risks may re­quire car­ing about fu­ture people

eliflandAug 14, 2022, 12:55 AM
182 points
38 comments6 min readEA link
(www.foxy-scout.com)

Rea­sons I’ve been hes­i­tant about high lev­els of near-ish AI risk

eliflandJul 22, 2022, 1:32 AM
208 points
16 comments7 min readEA link
(www.foxy-scout.com)

Im­pact­ful Fore­cast­ing Prize Re­sults and Reflections

eliflandMar 29, 2022, 4:16 PM
40 points
10 comments3 min readEA link

Samotsvety Nu­clear Risk Fore­casts — March 2022

NunoSempereMar 10, 2022, 6:52 PM
155 points
54 comments6 min readEA link

Im­pact­ful Fore­cast­ing Prize meetup

eliflandFeb 10, 2022, 5:12 PM
4 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Im­pact­ful Fore­cast­ing Prize meetup

eliflandFeb 10, 2022, 5:08 PM
4 points
0 comments1 min readEA link

Im­pact­ful Fore­cast­ing Prize for fore­cast write­ups on cu­rated Me­tac­u­lus questions

eliflandFeb 4, 2022, 8:06 PM
91 points
13 comments4 min readEA link

Ma­trix Moments

eliflandJan 30, 2022, 10:20 PM
40 points
0 comments3 min readEA link
(www.foxy-scout.com)

Pre­dic­tion Mar­kets in The Cor­po­rate Setting

NunoSempereDec 31, 2021, 5:10 PM
87 points
15 comments33 min readEA link

Bot­tle­necks to more im­pact­ful crowd forecasting

eliflandDec 26, 2021, 10:48 PM
47 points
2 comments10 min readEA link
(www.foxy-scout.com)

elifland’s Quick takes

eliflandJun 16, 2020, 5:19 PM
2 points
24 comments1 min readEA link