elifland

Karma: 2,941

You can give me anonymous feedback here. I often change my mind and don’t necessarily endorse past writings.

Long-Term Future Fund: May 2023 to March 2024 Payout recommendations

Linch12 Jun 2024 13:46 UTC

76 points

8 comments13 min readEA link

Podcast: Is Forecasting a Promising EA Cause Area?

Ozzie Gooen25 Mar 2024 20:36 UTC

29 points

3 comments1 min readEA link

Eli Lifland on Navigating the AI Alignment Landscape

Ozzie Gooen1 Feb 2023 0:07 UTC

48 points

9 comments31 min readEA link

(quri.substack.com)

Discussing how to align Transformative AI if it’s developed very soon

elifland28 Nov 2022 16:17 UTC

36 points

0 comments28 min readEA link

Eli’s review of “Is power-seeking AI an existential risk?”

elifland30 Sep 2022 12:21 UTC

58 points

3 comments3 min readEA link

(docs.google.com)

Quantified Intuitions: An epistemics training website including a new EA-themed calibration app

Sage20 Sep 2022 22:25 UTC

86 points

8 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Forecasting thread: How does AI risk level vary based on timelines?

elifland14 Sep 2022 23:56 UTC

47 points

8 comments1 min readEA link

Samotsvety’s AI risk forecasts

elifland9 Sep 2022 4:01 UTC

175 points

30 comments4 min readEA link

My take on What We Owe the Future

elifland1 Sep 2022 18:07 UTC

357 points

50 comments26 min readEA link

Prioritizing x-risks may require caring about future people

elifland14 Aug 2022 0:55 UTC

183 points

38 comments6 min readEA link

(www.foxy-scout.com)

Reasons I’ve been hesitant about high levels of near-ish AI risk

elifland22 Jul 2022 1:32 UTC

216 points

16 comments7 min readEA link

(www.foxy-scout.com)

Impactful Forecasting Prize Results and Reflections

elifland29 Mar 2022 16:16 UTC

40 points

10 comments3 min readEA link

Samotsvety Nuclear Risk Forecasts — March 2022

NunoSempere10 Mar 2022 18:52 UTC

155 points

54 comments6 min readEA link

Impactful Forecasting Prize meetup

elifland10 Feb 2022 17:12 UTC

4 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

Impactful Forecasting Prize meetup

elifland10 Feb 2022 17:08 UTC

4 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

Impactful Forecasting Prize for forecast writeups on curated Metaculus questions

elifland4 Feb 2022 20:06 UTC

91 points

13 comments4 min readEA link

Matrix Moments

elifland30 Jan 2022 22:20 UTC

40 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

(www.foxy-scout.com)

Prediction Markets in The Corporate Setting

NunoSempere31 Dec 2021 17:10 UTC

87 points

15 comments33 min readEA link

Bottlenecks to more impactful crowd forecasting

elifland26 Dec 2021 22:48 UTC

47 points

2 comments10 min readEA link

(www.foxy-scout.com)

elifland’s Quick takes

elifland16 Jun 2020 17:19 UTC

2 points

24 comments EA link