Tough to read some of the text that’s on top of background images on some pages like: https://karenavr.wixsite.com/effective-volunteer/define-your-specific-role-copy
Pat Myron 🔸
Karma: 597
I invest almost everything and don’t keep much in bank accounts, but anyone who does should at least make sure they’re banking at competitive rates:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/SEXGJfj7RMRomf9ts/save-to-give-switch-banks
Surprised Animal Charity Evaluators Recommended Charity Fund gives equal amounts to around a dozen charities:
https://animalcharityevaluators.org/donation-advice/recommended-charity-fund/
Uncertainty’s involved, but a core tenant of EA and charity evaluators is that certain charities are more effective, so Givewell’s Top Charities Fund giving different amounts to only a few charities per year makes more sense:
https://www.givewell.org/top-charities-fund
The price of the WLD token on Binance.com is approximately $2.3 as of July 31, 2023
I wouldn’t assume this to be stable. Also, verification is currently only available in 18 countries: https://worldcoin.org/find-orb
Excited to hear which Manifold comments won prizes! Also unclear to me if EU fish advocacy should resolve the EU animal advocacy or the fish advocacy market YES
updated full list announcement: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/2Nnu9ykixiqG2mMit/ce-announcing-our-february-2024-charity-ideas-apply-now
Marginal charity
Commenting prizes incentivized great reasoning sharing rather than silent predictions, and I’m excited to hear which ideas are chosen
Forecasting prizes requiring currencies benefits those who bet more over those who strictly forecast better. I borrowed hundreds of USD of Manifold’s currency to bet more on the tournament:
https://manifold.markets/group/ce-2023-top-ideas/leaderboards
whereas other tournaments are more strictly based on forecasting:
https://salemcenter.manifold.markets/
https://www.metaculus.com/tournaments/
Also could get more traders if Manifold highlighted tournaments in a banner/sidebar/notification/email/etc. Expect the markets would not have all had <50 traders if more users knew thousands of additional USD were at stake:
https://manifold.markets/CE?tab=markets
https://manifold.markets/stats
X-axis of the university rank distribution histogram is distorted. Some bars represent 25x as many universities as other bars. Ideally it’d look like a smoothed version of the previous graph
Wider list if anyone’s curious what’s after mosquitos and snakes:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_deadliest_animals_to_humans
There are public biotech companies with ~$10B valuations and higher price/sales ratios: https://finviz.com/screener.ashx?v=121&f=cap_midover&o=-ps
And private valuations are much more generous than public valuations
90% or 99%
The giving pledge is 50%+, so I’d include 50%
As evidence increases for cognitive effects of poor air quality:
https://patrickcollison.com/pollutionInitial opportunities for extra impact may be prioritizing monitoring and improving air quality in important decision-making buildings like government buildings, headquarters, etc
@mikefilbey switching from monthly to annually could save over half the Stripe processing fees
Offput that 80k hours advises “if you find you aren’t interested in [The Precipice: Existential Risk], we probably aren’t the best people for you to get advice from”. Hoped there was more general advising beyond just those interested in existential risk
@Peter S. Park @MathiasKB @AndrewDoris
rather than armoring where you’re bit, less costly / inconvenient preventing bites in the first place by emitting odor / noise / light to ward off predators. Odor seems most promising for snakes according to https://www.callnorthwest.com/2019/04/home-remedies-to-keep-snakes-away/
Maybe more than superstition to carry around smelly garlic / onions :)
Happy to help with AWS CloudFormation / Terraform work
Surprised how concentrated shortform authorship is. So far in 2023:
EA Forum:
25⁄125 (20%) @Nathan Young
9⁄125 (7%) @Evan_Gaensbauer
Lesswrong:
26⁄252 (10%) @DragonGod
10⁄252 (4%) @lc
assuming my code’s accurate enough:grep -Eo 'CommentUserName-author">.+?<' shortform.div | sort | uniq -c | sort -nr # outdatedgrep -Eo 'UsersNameDisplay-noColor" href=".+?">.+?<' shortform.div | sort | uniq -c | sort -nr # updated
AmazonSmile shuts down tomorrow if anyone wants to shop more today and/or less going forward:
https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/company-news/amazon-closing-amazonsmile-to-focus-its-philanthropic-giving-to-programs-with-greater-impact
Manifold markets hasn’t solved longterm market incentives yet:
https://manifold.markets/Nu%C3%B1oSempere/this-question-will-resolve-positive-4a418ad86de3#jdUj58EdDXBbF8ZNyXaT
There are even accounts dedicated to messing with Manifold markets:
https://manifold.markets/ButtocksCocktoasten?tab=questions
Manifold doubled mana loan amounts this month to try to mitigate the longterm market incentive issues on the platform