I think restraining deployment would reduce the rate of improvement in peak AI capability in the world, via reduced funding. Do you think otherwise? How does that work?
Is it 1. restraining deployment won’t reduce funding, or 2. restraining deployment would reduce funding, but reduced funding won’t reduce the rate of improvement, or 3. restraining deployment would reduce funding, and reduced funding would reduce the rate of improvement, but still the whole argument doesn’t work for reason X?
The author commented elsewhere that it took at least 50 hours.