Tyner

Karma: 752

Tyner 15 Mar 2024 17:37 UTC
32 points
27 ∶ 0
on: Maternal Health Initiative is Shutting Down
Thank you for trying <3

Tyner 28 Feb 2024 21:39 UTC
16 points
4 ∶ 0
on: What posts would you like someone to write?
I would really appreciate further analysis of family planning as an intervention. Some specific questions I’d like to see tackled:
- What is the cost effectiveness of these interventions/organizations when looking at a variety of metrics (e.g. preventing maternal deaths, preventing obstetric fistula, increasing subjective well-being, increasing wealth etc.)?
  - Some framework for tallying these benefits.
- Do these interventions lead to a permanent reduction in family size, or a temporary one?
- What is the impact to farmed animals (i.e. does this intervention benefit from the meat-eater problem)?
- What about climate change or other environmental impacts?
Here are some posts that provide a start:
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/WYmJoDxJZToDcA9Bq/population-size-growth-and-reproductive-choice-highly
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/zgBmSgyWECJcbhmpc/family-planning-a-significant-opportunity-for-impact
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/BMzmCohuPYRaGPcZD/maybe-family-planning-charities-are-better-for-farmed
And here’s a really good report on one org:
https://rethinkpriorities.org/publications/family-empowerment-media
And CE has some good reports on some interventions:
https://www.charityentrepreneurship.com/health-reports

Tyner 23 Feb 2024 4:50 UTC
3 points
0 ∶ 0
on: Let’s advertise EA infrastructure projects, Feb 2024
I don’t think that SEADS still exists. They haven’t posted in a while and their website is dead
https://seads-ai.org/portfolio.html

Tyner 6 Jan 2024 18:33 UTC
4 points
1 ∶ 0
in reply to: Powder’s comment on: Double the donation: EA inadequacy found?
>What I personally think is that those who are pledgees should consider donation matching as part of a prospective job’s compensation as it is a permanent cost. (also would incentivise negotiation in that direction)
I’m not sure I understand. Are you suggesting that GWWC should include the donation match in the denominator, but not the numerator? Or include in both? Or are you not talking about GWWC at all here?

Tyner 19 Dec 2023 23:26 UTC
13 points
1 ∶ 0
on: Where are you donating this year, and why? (Open thread)
I’m giving to the EA Animal Welfare Fund.
https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/funds/animal-welfare
I thought this was likely among the best giving opportunities around. And then was further persuaded by the investigation from GWWC.
https://docs.google.com/document/d/1hqYNZ9zJfe3D_nyJ4b21J0IJs210upAXTw8fPWnYJe8/edit#heading=h.kiw67f2s2v90

Tyner 3 Dec 2023 0:12 UTC
1 point
0 ∶ 0
in reply to: Carolina F Toth’s comment on: Where are you donating this year, and why? (Open thread)
You say “don’t yet”...are you aware of anyone working on a project to incorporate deontology or other non-utilitarian factors in cause prioritization?
because we don’t yet have a way to give enough weight to subjective wellbeing, the value of self-determination, or justice

Tyner 9 Nov 2023 17:16 UTC
3 points
0 ∶ 0
on: AMA: Earning to Give
Do you have thoughts on giving now vs. later?
Investing to give e.g. (https://www.founderspledge.com/research/investing-to-give)?
If you got google stock options or grants from 2013 (I don’t know if you did) then those would have increased in value about 800%, so could your giving go much further if delayed to take advantage of gain? Or do you think of it some other way?
Thanks.

Tyner 5 Apr 2023 17:04 UTC
3 points
0 ∶ 0
on: [Paid Consulting Project] Looking for Health Economists & Epidemiologists
Hi Joel,
I would love to do this but do not have the bandwidth right now. I believe that Froolow is also a health economist and may be available.
Cheers

Tyner 27 Mar 2023 17:10 UTC
36 points
1 ∶ 0
on: Introducing Focus Philanthropy
How does Focus Philanthropy compare and contrast with Farmed Animal Funders?
Good luck!

Tyner 16 Feb 2023 18:17 UTC
10 points
0 ∶ 0
on: Why I No Longer Prioritize Wild Animal Welfare (edited)
Hi Saulius, thank you for the interesting post. When you consider wild animal interventions do you include wild-caught fish?
e.g.
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/tykEYESbJkqT39v64/directly-purchasing-and-distributing-stunning-equipment-to

Tyner 15 Dec 2022 2:04 UTC
2 points
0 ∶ 0
in reply to: Edward Farrelly’s comment on: Announcing WildAnimalSuffering.org, a new resource launched for the cause
Hi Edward,
You might be interested in the work of the Non-Human Rights Project. They are attempting to establish the legal and political frameworks to ensure that animals (e.g. tigers) will be treated well by people.
https://www.nonhumanrights.org

Tyner 2 Dec 2022 18:05 UTC
1 point
0 ∶ 0
in reply to: Elliot Temple’s comment on: Game: I Find Three Errors in Your Favorite Text
Thanks for writing this.
1. I don’t think this is significant. The use of the word “consumption” is interchangeable with purchasing in economic contexts. The use of the word “marginal” is possibly superfluous. However, I think there’s an interpretation that makes sense here, where an individual is increasing total suffering “at the margin” by virtue of their consumption. That is, they are not responsible for the whole of the suffering, but the marginal increase in suffering caused by their personal consumption. The language is unclear, but I would not agree that it is a significant error (unless you consider unclarity or vagueness to be significant mistakes).
2-4 I agree with you. I particularly appreciate the point about ‘naive vs. non-naive’.
cheers

Tyner 2 Dec 2022 17:12 UTC
5 points
1 ∶ 0
in reply to: Kirsten’s comment on: I’m a 22-year-old woman involved in Effective Altruism. I’m sad, disappointed, and scared.
Maybe one way to address this would be separate posts? The first raises the problems, shares emotions. The second suggests particular actions that could help.

Tyner 23 Nov 2022 19:24 UTC
2 points
0 ∶ 0
on: Game: I Find Three Errors in Your Favorite Text
Underappreciated consequentialist reasons to avoid consuming animal products
Magnus Vinding

Tyner 20 Nov 2022 18:47 UTC
5 points
0 ∶ 0
in reply to: Ofer’s comment on: Proposal: Funding Diversification for Top Cause Areas
Could you explain further why funding diversity would exacerbate unilateralist’s curse?

Tyner 7 Nov 2022 21:43 UTC
1 point
0 ∶ 0
in reply to: Max Görlitz’s comment on: MaxG’s Shortform
Is it this one?
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/bXP7mtkK6WRS4QMFv/are-bad-people-really-unwelcome-in-ea

Tyner 7 Nov 2022 18:17 UTC
1 point
0 ∶ 0
in reply to: Eli Kaufman’s comment on: Savings as donations
This was another discussion of EA/FIRE
https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/j2ccaxmHcjiwGDs9T/ea-vs-fire-reconciling-these-two-movements

Tyner 21 Oct 2022 19:00 UTC
11 points
0 ∶ 0
on: Brief evaluations of top-10 billionnaires
Below is a link to the Philanthropy 50 from last year. It is US only and ranks by amount given
https://archive.ph/XFfEI

Tyner 18 Oct 2022 20:09 UTC
2 points
0 ∶ 0
on: Introducing Cause Innovation Bootcamp
This sounds like a great project and I would really like to participate, but cannot make the commitment for that date span. Is there a good way to stay in the loop for future cohorts? Thanks!

Tyner 5 Oct 2022 16:16 UTC
6 points
0 ∶ 0
on: Ask (Everyone) Anything — “EA 101”
Does “calibrated probability assessment” training work?
In “How to Measure Anything” chapter 5, Douglas Hubbard describes the training he provides to individuals and organizations that want to improve their skills. He provides a sample test which is based on general knowledge trivia, questions like
“What is the air distance from LA to NY?”
for which the student is supposed to provide a 90% confidence interval. There are also some true/false questions where you provide your level of confidence in the answer e.g.
“Napoleon was born on Corsica”.
In the following few pages he describes some of the data he’s collected about his trainees implying this sort of practice helps people become better estimators of various things, including forecasting the likelihood of future events. For example, he describes CTO’s making more accurate predictions of new tech after completing training.
My question: Is there evidence that practice making probabilistic estimates about trivia improves people’s ability to forecast non-trivial matters? Have there been published studies?
I asked Dr. Hubbard these questions and he graciously replied saying to check out his book, which only cites 1980 Kahneman and Tversky, or the Wikipedia page, which also only cites his book and the above study, or to read Superforecasting.
Thanks!
[note that this is a re-post of a question I asked before but didn’t get an answer]

Tyner

Underappreciated consequentialist reasons to avoid consuming animal products