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P(doom) ranges from 10% to 99% depending on who you ask. I searched 1,259 hours of AI safety podcasts to map the actual disagreements.

Bardoonii18 Apr 2026 18:46 UTC

4 points

3 comments1 min readEA link

Why we need to resist the idea of net negative lives in insects

Seidenpuma18 Apr 2026 16:10 UTC

55 points

23 comments4 min readEA link

AI risk is not a Pascal’s wager

ozymandias18 Apr 2026 15:49 UTC

11 points

1 comment5 min readEA link

(thingofthings.substack.com)

Effective Altruism and Radical Trivialisms

Bentham's Bulldog18 Apr 2026 15:38 UTC

16 points

2 comments5 min readEA link

Building the Field of AI Safety

80000_Hours18 Apr 2026 9:52 UTC

33 points

3 comments14 min readEA link

My lover, effective altruism

Natalie_Cargill18 Apr 2026 6:38 UTC

133 points

8 comments5 min readEA link

AI for decision advice

Forethought17 Apr 2026 21:40 UTC

15 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(www.forethought.org)

MCL: Watermarking LLM-generated Text with Markov Chains

Kyuhee Kim17 Apr 2026 21:14 UTC

4 points

0 comments8 min readEA link

AI safety is maturing. Is its generalist talent pipeline keeping up?

Uladzislau Linnik17 Apr 2026 19:43 UTC

31 points

7 comments21 min readEA link

[Research Request] “Prestige Tax”: Quantifying Epistemic Silence in AI Safety Teams

James-Hartree17 Apr 2026 19:31 UTC

5 points

1 comment2 min readEA link

The Abstraction Fallacy: Why AI Can Simulate But Not Instantiate Consciousness

Vasco Grilo🔸17 Apr 2026 16:38 UTC

10 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

(philpapers.org)

Same Model, Different Oversight: What Deployment Context Reveals About AI Task Success

nikolasjanke17 Apr 2026 16:32 UTC

3 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

When Authority Conflicts: The Mandelson Vetting case.

PredictivePatterns17 Apr 2026 16:15 UTC

1 point

0 comments3 min readEA link

Trajan House—current goals and updates

Asher Benter 🔸17 Apr 2026 15:36 UTC

55 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

Humane Pesticides Are Massively Morally Urgent

Bentham's Bulldog17 Apr 2026 15:28 UTC

48 points

11 comments4 min readEA link

Come to Manifest 2026! (June 12-14)

Winter17 Apr 2026 14:06 UTC

1 point

0 comments4 min readEA link

(news.manifold.markets)

30 days Entertainment Fasting! Let’s do it together.

Salman Sadi17 Apr 2026 14:05 UTC

−4 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

Make your accomplishments publicly legible

jgdouglass 🔶17 Apr 2026 14:00 UTC

7 points

1 comment2 min readEA link

(jackdouglass.substack.com)

SEVERANT: A Formally Verified, Hardware-Constrained Architecture for Safe General Intelligence

EvangaleKTV17 Apr 2026 13:58 UTC

−3 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

Positive Outcome: a potential destination through the AI transition

KevinBerger17 Apr 2026 13:55 UTC

0 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

Modeling AI competition dynamics for better governance

Jonas Emanuel Müller17 Apr 2026 9:07 UTC

10 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

In Development Magazine Launch

Lauren Gilbert17 Apr 2026 3:18 UTC

68 points

4 comments1 min readEA link

(indevelopmentmag.com)

Reconciling Cost-Effectiveness and Cheap Enough

Tony Senanayake17 Apr 2026 2:56 UTC

57 points

1 comment5 min readEA link

You Don’t Need to Be a Longtermist!

Charles Berry17 Apr 2026 2:20 UTC

9 points

2 comments4 min readEA link

How Chad Jones’ “weak links” explain the capability-diffusion gap and why safetyists and accelerationists talk past each other

Jacob 🔸16 Apr 2026 22:45 UTC

3 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

Anti-Debate: Daniel Kokotajlo and Dean Ball on AI Policy

LivBoeree16 Apr 2026 19:13 UTC

10 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

The AI people have been right a lot

Dylan Matthews16 Apr 2026 18:02 UTC

163 points

21 comments6 min readEA link

Rented Virtue, by Will Manidis & Nabeel S. Qureshi

Austin16 Apr 2026 17:57 UTC

9 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

(minutes.substack.com)

None of It Is Pretend

Bentham's Bulldog16 Apr 2026 16:31 UTC

70 points

2 comments5 min readEA link

[Question] How Broad Should I Make My EA Chapter?

Tessa P16 Apr 2026 16:30 UTC

5 points

2 comments1 min readEA link

A brief update on EA Funds, and a recruitment announcement: Head of the EA Infrastructure Fund

Loïc Watine16 Apr 2026 16:02 UTC

73 points

7 comments4 min readEA link

AI as a Psychosocial Singularity

Kenneth_Diao16 Apr 2026 14:06 UTC

4 points

0 comments10 min readEA link

(graspingatwaves.substack.com)

Exclusion Is Intrusion Why Inclusive Design Is Privacy Infrastructure

Niko_Movich16 Apr 2026 13:50 UTC

0 points

0 comments10 min readEA link

Why does comparing speciesism to human oppression shut people down?

Aditi Daga16 Apr 2026 13:46 UTC

13 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

Polycentric AI Governance from the Ground Up

Sung Ming Chow16 Apr 2026 13:00 UTC

3 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

We Gave EAs ~6 Extra Impactful Hours per Week: Announcing CBT Lab 2026

Cat🔸16 Apr 2026 10:54 UTC

4 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

[Question] Does EA’s funding base have the wrong correlation structure?

epistemicfool16 Apr 2026 9:07 UTC

3 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

You Aren’t in Charge of the Overton Window; Politics Is Not Interior Design

Davidmanheim16 Apr 2026 8:08 UTC

35 points

3 comments12 min readEA link

Toward a Common Language for Human-AI Interaction Failures

PtZero16 Apr 2026 6:32 UTC

1 point

0 comments14 min readEA link

AI Lab—browser idle game about training AI models (looking for feedback)

mmilovanovic8715 Apr 2026 21:54 UTC

1 point

0 comments1 min readEA link

Goodharting Culture and Values Docs

Sam Smith 🔸15 Apr 2026 20:58 UTC

9 points

0 comments7 min readEA link

NYU CMEP Call for EOIs: Contract Technical Benchmarking Lead & Researcher, Welfare Alignment Project

Sofia_Fogel15 Apr 2026 19:43 UTC

32 points

0 comments2 min readEA link

The case for working in US politics, how to assess your fit, the downsides, and how to get started

80000_Hours15 Apr 2026 16:42 UTC

47 points

0 comments16 min readEA link

Applications open for the Online wing of the AFFINE Superintelligence Alignment Seminar

Mateusz Bagiński15 Apr 2026 16:10 UTC

2 points

0 comments1 min readEA link

Most AI Governance Doesn’t Govern

Covi Franklin15 Apr 2026 15:00 UTC

6 points

0 comments7 min readEA link

The brain as a resonance chamber: a speculative framework for meaning, learning, and AI

A. Bean15 Apr 2026 14:47 UTC

−4 points

0 comments3 min readEA link

Toward a Common Language for Human-AI Interaction Failures

PtZero15 Apr 2026 14:42 UTC

1 point

0 comments48 min readEA link

The Case Against Offsetting Your Diet

Charles Berry15 Apr 2026 14:36 UTC

62 points

11 comments6 min readEA link

Do language models have consistent moral views?

unushri15 Apr 2026 14:34 UTC

4 points

0 comments4 min readEA link

Why Awareness Changes Everything. And Why We’ve Never Taken It Seriously.

Kalpesh15 Apr 2026 11:38 UTC

−2 points

0 comments3 min readEA link